When the meteorologist on the nightly news says, “There’s a 20% chance of rain tomorrow,” what he means is that, among some large population of past days with conditions similar to those currently obtaining, 20% of them were followed by rainy days. But what can we mean when we say, “There’s a 20% chance that God created the universe?” It can’t be that one in five universes was made by God and the rest popped up on their own. The truth is, I’ve never seen a method I find satisfying for assigning numbers to our uncertainty about ultimate questions of this kind. As much as I love numbers, I think
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