Joshua Branham

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Did you try a new apricot-and-cream-cheese diet and find you lost three pounds? Think back to the moment you decided to slim down. More than likely it was a moment at which the normal up-and-down of your weight had you at the top of your usual range, because those are the kinds of moments when you look down at the scale, or just at your midsection, and say, jeez, I’ve gotta do something. But if that’s the case, you might well have lost three pounds anyway, apricots or no apricots, when you trended back toward your normal weight.
How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
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