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The exponential increase in computing power captured by Moore’s law is sustained by an explosion of ever-increasing costs. Since the 1970s, research efforts focused on improving semiconductors have increased by a factor of 18, while productivity has decreased by the same factor. This finding implies that it’s now 18 times harder to accelerate Moore’s law than it was half a century ago.
Boom: Bubbles and the End of Stagnation
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