What I found, in short, was that the configuration of policy interests in 1948 already presaged an American victory over the Soviet Union. It was, as Gaddis put it, an emergent property. This was true even though the starting date, 1948, predated the formation of either NATO or the Warsaw Pact, each of which emerged in almost every simulation as the nations’ positions shifted from round to round according to the model’s logic.4
