In real life there are plenty of incentives for others (and for us) to lie. That is certainly true for athletes, corporate executives, national leaders, poker players, and all the rest of us. Therefore, to predict the future we have to reflect on when people are likely to lie and when they are most likely to tell the truth. In engineering the future, our task is to find the right incentives so that people tell the truth, or so that, when it helps our cause, they believe our lies.
