As always in science, there are many authors and origins of this burgeoning field, but two who stand out are psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. Four decades ago, Kahneman and Tversky collaborated on research that looked at how people form judgments when they’re uncertain of the facts. That may sound like a modest little backwater of academic work, but it is actually one of the most basic aspects of how people think and act. For academics, it shapes the answers to core questions in fields as diverse as economics, law, health, and public policy. For everyone else, it’s the stuff of
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