Estonia is an early-warning system for NATO, and Estonian leaders consistently deliver blunt warnings about the threat from Russia. In military terms, they are—quite literally—a tripwire for a Russian invasion. “Tripwire” is, in fact, how NATO describes its defense strategy for Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania if Russian forces were to attack. NATO’s eastern-facing allies interpret and convey Russia’s threat very differently than its western allies do. Estonian officials—presidents, prime ministers, foreign ministers, and military commanders—have been telling me for years, even prior to the 2022
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