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But as my colleague Alex Dumortier recently wrote, "The expected return isn't the return you should expect." This isn't as crazy as it sounds. Over very long periods of time, stocks will earn respectable returns of 7% to 9% a year. But among individual years -- even decades -- those returns will be all over the map.
Everyone Believes It; Most Will Be Wrong: Motley Thoughts on Investing and the Economy
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