your team buys the best players and hires a great manager, the trophies will follow. In our attempts to discover how great a role chance plays in soccer, we came to a very different answer, however. We have visited betting parlors and laboratories, and we have encountered many of those scientists who share a passion for the beautiful game. We have examined tens of thousands of European league and cup games over the course of a hundred years and World Cup matches played by dozens of countries since 1938. And we have come to the conclusion that soccer is basically a 50/50 game. Half of it is
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