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Nikhil Goyal
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The Art of Thinking Clearly: The Secrets of Perfect Decision-Making, by Rolf Dobelli

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Well, it makes us believe we are better predictors than we actually are, causing us to be arrogant about our knowledge and consequently to take too much risk.
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The Art of Thinking Clearly: The Secrets of Perfect Decision-Making
The Art of Thinking Clearly: The Secrets of Perfect Decision-Making
by Rolf Dobelli
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