Stone

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Suppose we were to find that happy people tend to be friendly. There is a correlation between happiness and friendliness. We might decide that there is a causal connection between these two factors, but which was the cause and which was the effect? A sensible way of settling this would be to investigate which comes first. Were these people happy first and then became friendly? Or were they first friendly and then became happy?
Stone
Temporal priority. Which comes first
Causation: A Very Short Introduction (Very Short Introductions)
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