Yet the Civil War, once started, went badly for the Nationalists, in large part because of Chiang Kai-shek’s judgments. During the war against Japan, Chiang had played an appallingly bad hand much better than might have been expected. During the Civil War, his judgment appears to have deserted him. In particular, his decision to extend his lines to try and recapture the northeast—the region which was the Communist heartland where Mao was underpinned by strong support from the neighboring USSR—was spectacularly ill-judged. In 1945–1946 George Marshall had encouraged Chiang to try and recapture
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