Spillover: the powerful, prescient book that predicted the Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic.

by David Quammen

One of the lab people at Porton Down was Geoffrey S. Platt. On November 5, 1976, in the course of an experiment, Platt filled a syringe with homogenized liver from a guinea pig that had been infected with the Sudanese virus. Presumably he intended to inject that fluid into another test animal. Something went amiss, and instead he jabbed himself in the thumb. Platt didn’t know exactly what pathogen he had just exposed himself to, but he knew it wasn’t good. The fatality rate from this unidentified virus, as he must have been aware, was upwards of 50 percent. Immediately he peeled off his medical glove, plunged his thumb into a hypochlorite solution (bleach, which kills virus) and tried to squeeze out a drop or two of blood. None came. He couldn’t even see a puncture. That was a good sign if it meant there was no puncture, a bad sign if it meant a little hole sealed tight. The tininess of Platt’s wound, in light of subsequent events, testifies that even a minuscule dose of an ebolavirus is enough to cause infection, at least if that dose gets directly into a person’s bloodstream. Not every pathogen is so potent. Some require a more sizable foothold. Ebolaviruses have force but not reach. You can’t catch one by breathing shared air, but if a smidgen of the virus gets through a break in your skin (and there are always tiny breaks), God help you. In the terms used by the scientists: It’s not very contagious but it’s highly infectious. Six days after the needle prick, Geoffrey P...

Ebola is relentless