All those injections, according to Pepin, might account for boosting the incidence of HIV infection beyond a critical threshold. Once the reusable needles and syringes put the virus into enough people—say, several hundred—it wouldn’t come to a dead end, it wouldn’t burn out, and sexual transmission could do the rest. Some experts, including Michael Worobey and Beatrice Hahn, doubt that needles were necessary in any such way to the establishment of HIV in humans—that is, to its early transmission from one person to another. But even they agree that injection campaigns could have played a role
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