To understand why some outbreaks of viral disease go big, others go really big, and still others sputter intermittently or pass away without causing devastation, consider two aspects of a virus in action: transmissibility and virulence. These are crucial parameters, defining and fateful, like speed and mass. Along with a few other factors, they largely determine the gross impact of any outbreak. Neither of the two is an absolute constant; they vary, they’re relative. They reflect the connectedness of a virus to its host and its wider world. They measure situations, not just microbes.
...more