But random changes do constitute variation, and variation is the exploration of possibilities. It’s the raw material of natural selection, adaptation, evolution. That’s why influenza is such a protean sort of bug, always full of surprises, full of newness, full of menace: so much mutation and reassortment. The steady incidence of mutations yields incremental change in how the virus looks and behaves. Ergo you need another flu shot every autumn: This year’s version of flu is different enough from last year’s. Reassortment yields big changes.