Europe’s crisis is not an accident, but it’s not caused by excessive long-term debts and deficits or by the “welfare” state. It’s caused by excessive austerity—cutbacks in government expenditures that predictably led to the recession of 2012—and a flawed monetary arrangement, the euro. When the euro was introduced, most disinterested economists were skeptical. Changes in exchange rates and interest rates are critical for helping economies adjust. If all of the European countries were buffeted by the same shocks, then a single adjustment of the exchange rate and interest rate would do for all.
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