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“the confidence people express often reflects their personalities rather than their knowledge, memory, or abilities.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“Your moment-to-moment expectations, more than the visual distinctiveness of the object, determine what you see—and what you miss.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“Beware of memories accompanied by strong emotions and vivid details—they are just as likely to be wrong as mundane memories, but you’re far less likely to realize it.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“we easily deceive ourselves into thinking that we understand and can explain things that we really know very little about.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“Hofstadter’s law tells us: “It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter’s Law.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“incompetence causes overconfidence”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“Expertise helps you notice unexpected events, but only when the event happens in the context of your expertise.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“the more attention-demanding tasks your brain does, the worse it does each one.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“People are confident that they can drive and talk on the phone simultaneously precisely because they almost never encounter evidence that they cannot.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“The human mind’s tendency to promiscuously perceive meaningful visual patterns in randomness has a one-word name: pareidolia.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“Be wary of your intuitions, especially intuitions about how your own mind works.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“confidence and ability can diverge so far that relying on the former becomes a gigantic mental trap,”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“Experience guides them to look for common problems rather than rare anomalies, and in most cases, that strategy is wise.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“looking without seeing,”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“people see what they expect to see,”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“But as you’ll see in this chapter, the confidence that people project, whether they are diagnosing a patient, making decisions about foreign policy, or testifying in court, is all too often an illusion.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“Unlike the rankings published for most sports, the chess rating system is extremely accurate; for practical purposes, your rating is a nearly perfect indicator of your ability.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“Ellen Goodman wrote, “The very same people who use cell phones … are convinced that they should be taken out of the hands of (other) idiots who use them.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“Both experimental and epidemiological studies show that the driving impairments caused by talking on a cell phone are comparable to the effects of driving while legally intoxicated.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
“The proliferation of information about finance, from cable news networks to websites to business magazines, is a recipe for the illusory feeling that we know how the markets work, when all we really have is a lot of information about what they are doing at the moment, what they have done in the past, and how people think they work, none of which necessarily predicts what they will do in the future. Familiarity with the language of finance and the immediacy of market changes often masks a lack of deep knowledge, and the increasingly rapid flow of information may even shorten the cycle of booms and busts in the future.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuition Deceives Us
