"Whoever controls the volume of money in any country is absolute master of all industry and commerce."
~James Garfield
I remember one day in the late 1990's, my professor in a macro-economics class said that Alan Greenspan was the most powerful person in the world. This intrigued me. At the time I knew very little about the Federal Reserve and nothing about Alan Greenspan. This particular book was published in 2000, which happened to be when I created my original to-read list. I decided I needed to know more about the man. Since that time, I have read nearly every book on that list with a few exceptions. This book was one of those exceptions. Books on economics aren't exactly page turners and frankly I dreaded it. It is now 2008 and unfortunately we are currently in the midst of one of the biggest economic crisises in our nation's history. Greenspan is no longer the Fed Chair; however, I felt like it was a perfect time to finally bite the bullet and read the book.
I have a fairly limited understanding of economics; however, I found this book very easy to read and understand. It was a really good economics refresher. The book explained the following concepts/subjects in more detail:
- How the Fed Chairman is appointed
- The role of the Fed Chairman
- Low interest rates vs. inflation
- Treasury bonds
- The FOMC
- The Fed fund rate vs. the discount rate
- The stock market
- Law of supply and demand
- Disfiguration of capitalism by government
- Black Tuesday of 1929 that led to the Great Depression
- Stock market crash of 1987 and Greenspan's role in overcoming it
- The Russian and Mexican financial turmoils
- LTCM (Long Term Capital Managment)
I did enjoy the detailed insight into why the Fed cuts or raises interest rates; however, the book was tedious at times discussing what seemed to be every interest rate move that occured between 1987 and 2000.
The parts I enjoyed the most were the anecdotes regarding the powerful and influential people he worked with such as Reagan, Bush Sr., Clinton, Bush Jr., McCain, Cheney, and even Ayn Rand. Greenspan, a Republican, was originally appointed by Reagan; however, he seemed to have the most influence on Bill Clinton who reappointed him twice. He was able to convince Clinton before he became president of the importance of keeping the long-term rates down and keeping them down with a strong deficit reduction program that could sustain and increase economic growth. Near the end of Clinton's administration there was steady economic growth, low inflation, unemployment at an unheard of 4% and the Dow was above 11,000. The US was truly in an "economic boom". Greenspan had direct and indirect influence on this.
The reason I give the book three stars (I wish I could give it 3 and a half) was primarily due to undue repetion throughout the book and because I wanted it to be more of a biography. It goes into his life a little but not enough to satisfy. I realize that's not what the premise of the book was but I wanted to know more about him as a person.
The author Bob Woodward, yes that Bob Woodward (the reporter who helped uncover the Watergate scandal), praises Greenspan throughout the book and deservedly so. He was considered the authority on American monetary and economic policy. The market would ebb and flow on his every word. At the end of the nineties, Greenspan was all over in the press and nearly always shown in a positive light. He seemed to always have his finger on the pulse of what was going on.
There is an ominous paragraph on the last page of the book. It says the following:
"When would the boom end? When would he goof? What was the hidden factor or brewing crisis that no one was anticipating? Stock market, banks, oil prices, Asia, Russia, hedge funds, an environmental crisis, a health catastrophe, drought, famine, scandal, war?"
Unfortunately, we know what happens next. Bob Woodward proved to be prophetic. Coincidentally, while I was reading this book, I saw Greenspan on the news in front of Congress explaining that he was partially at fault for the economic woes we now see. He admitted he was at fault for opposing regulation of financial institutions.
It will be sad if this current crisis tarnishes his legacy and years of service. Rep. John Yarmuth of Kentucky compared Greenspan to Bill Buckner whose fielding error caused Boston to lose the 1986 World Series. As a sports fan, I know just how harsh this comparison is, but we will eventually pull out of this crisis and all will be forgiven. The Red Sox fans have forgiven Buckner, after finally winning the Series. If this is possible than anything is possible.