My goodness, has it really been 10 months since I last finished a book? In truth, I largely finished this off in August and have only now read it cover-to-cover.
Catnip. That's what this book was for me.
I do science, but history and politics have always been my first loves. Perhaps it's something about relative immutability of events, that though interpretations of actions and motivations may change with time, the Admiral "Bull" Halsey will always be drawn off the landing beaches in the Philippines, leaving a ragtag group of pocket destroyers and escort carriers to fight a running battle with dreadnoughts and battleships firing shells weighing over a ton. Or maybe it's more in the clash and conflict of personalities, history and egos that leads people to outwit, outplay and outlast the others in the great chess match we call life. It could even be that I desire to know the lessons of history, so as build on what others have laid down. Whatever the cause, learning about people and events has always felt less like work, but more like a course in life education.
Which brings me to the book at hand. This is the 3rd (and to date, last) entry of the "What If" series of alternate history scenarios written by prominent historians. While the other 2 books charted wayward courses in stories spanning the globe on a timeline stretching back to antiquity, this book focuses on the territory that would become known as the United States of America. By focusing on the reader's home country (that happens to have a conveniently short existence), this book inherently has the advantages of being more focused and shorter, thus greatly increasing appeal. Compare, for example, that this is 2 pages short of 300 pages, while the combined edition of the first 2 "What If" clocks in at a Tom Clancy-like 800.
In the spirit of show-not-tell, here is a brief rundown of the scenarios.
* Might the Mayflower had not sailed?: Due to a string of factors including lack of funding, government obstruction, and a storm that landed the ship not at its original destination of Manhattan but on the rocky shoals of Massachusetts, Puritan value of equating hard work with virtue never gets implanted in American psyche.
* William Pitt the Elder and the avoidance of the American Revolution: Pitt avoids the revolution by restoring salutary neglect and in the process, leads to a world that not only files the Union Jack, but has adopted British common law and abolished slavery.
* What the fog wrought: the Revolution's Dunkirk, August 29, 1776: by a fortuitous fog, George Washington and half the Continental Army avoid capture and the revolutionary cause lives to fight another day.
* "His Accidency" John Tyler: refuting that he is an "Acting President," Tyler sets a precedent where the Constitution had been silent and sets up the Mexican American War.
* Lew Wallace and the ghosts of the Shunpike: a garbled order leads Wallace to march his army in circles at a critical moment at the Battle of Shiloh. Blamed for the horrific and ultimately inconclusive loss of life, he finds solace in writing and pens the semi-allegorical/autobiographical "Ben-Hur."
* If the Lost Order hadn't been lost: Robert E. Lee humbles the Union, 1862: instead of the draw fought at Antietam, McClellan dies at Gettysburg a year before the actual battle was fought. Faced with international pressure and domestic disgust at the fruitless expenditure of lives and livelihoods, Lincoln recognizes the South.
* The Northwest Conspiracy: spurred on by Lincoln's flagrant and repeated violations of the Constitution, seditionists and plain-fed up members of the opposing political party foment a rebellion and cause the US to splinter in 3: the North, the South, and the Midwest.
* Beyond the wildest dreams of John Wilkes Booth: by not only assassinating Lincoln but also Vice President Johnson, the conspiracy forces the Cabinet to form a regency to govern the country. Worse yet, after a mob retaliates by almost lynching prominent Confederate General Robert E. Lee, Lee orders the near-defeated Rebel army to disperse and attack the Union as partisans, creating an unending series of terror campaigns and guerrilla war.
* The Revolution of 1877: spurred on by worsening work conditions, worker strikes stop the trains and advance on Baltimore. President Hayes snaps and calls upon the military to attack the workers. When the smoke clears, the US has broken apart among class lines. The US experiment has failed, the American Dream has been exposed as a fairy tale, and "Everybody hates everybody."
* The whale against the wolf: the Anglo-American War of 1896: Driven by bellicose personalities, the US and Britain do battle for the 3rd time, this time over distant Venezuela. The massive American army's "wolf" steamrolls Canada, while the British navy's "whale" destroys the Statue of Liberty. Under threat of bombardment, the two sides quickly realize that the war is unwinnable and come to terms. The US annexes Quebec and learns to look beyond its own shores, shedding its isolationist tendencies in time to defuse the First World War.
* No Pearl Harbor?: FDR delays the war: FDR reluctantly decides to reopen some crucial food and oil shipments in exchange for a temporary 6 month halt to Japanese expansion. Japan agrees and calls off the fleet about to hit the US Pacific Fleet at Pearl Harbor. However, after the delay, Japanese militarists convince the emperor to resume limited attacks in the hope of not antagonizing the US. They do.
* If Eisenhower had gone to Berlin: Eisenhower probably could've beaten the Soviet Red Army to Berlin, because the bulk of the remaining German forces were on the other side of the city facing a tidal wave of angry Russian soldiers. However, Russian Premier Stalin might not have allowed this to happen, because what was at stake wasn't just the city (the countries had already agreed Berlin would be in Russian hands after the war). No, it was the nuclear research and uranium ore crucial to building the USSR's first nuclear weapon.
* Joe McCarthy's secret life: recruited by Soviet intelligence, McCarthy directs his Communist smear campaign into discrediting not only General George Marshall, but causing President Dwight Eisenhower to lose reelection. Censured by the Senate, he "beats the rap" by dying of natural causes.
* If the U-2 hadn't flown: if a whole string of factors ranging from weather to mission approval hadn't fallen into place, US President Eisenhower and Soviet Premier Khrushchev, both former military men who were sincerely interested in toning down the Cold War, might have severely curtailed the needless expenditures and waste that went into the great military-industrial complex
* The Cuban Missile Crisis: Second Holocaust: had the US launched airstrikes on Cuban nuclear missile positions but failed to destroy all their targets, one of the remaining rockets could have detonated over Washington DC and decapitated the US government. Without Executive restraint for a measured response, SIOP 63, the US war plan that called for the complete and total use of nuclear weapons against the Soviet Union, is unleashed without restraint, resulting in not only the destruction but the near extermination of the USSR. There is precious little Russian retaliation, because at the time the US maintained a gigantic superiority in strategic numbers and capability.
* JFK lives: JFK probably have pushed through his domestic initiatives, but his international record is murkier. He definitely wanted more peace with Russia and some reconciliation with Cuba. He could've also gotten the US out of Vietnam when it was still politically possible.
* What if Watergate was still just an upscale address?: If the long string of unlikely events hadn't fallen into place, the vast array of ethics laws and hounding journalists wanting to be the next Woodstein (the author's term) wouldn't have existed, while national health insurance would. But maybe Watergate was only one in a series of events that Nixon would have been eventually undone by.
So how do entries fare? Inconsistent and unbalanced is the best way to describe it, though that is a flaw inherent to any piece of work where multiple authors work separately on multiple scenarios. Because some scenarios are less familiar or less accessible to the average reader, the authors will often pour most of their energies toward setting up the players and situation, and only briefly touch upon what might have been (Northwest Conspiracy). In contrast, for other scenarios the authors (correctly or not) assume that the reader can follow along and thus go free-wheeling as they walk us through "a precarious, careening ride that could have taken us to any number of destinations (the American Revolution)." Even the degree of speculation is different, with some different paths completely reshaping the foundation of the country's character (Mayflower), while others probably not changing history all that much at all (FDR). In this light, the book works best when the authors go full-tilt and delve novel-like into an alternate timeline (Cuban Missile Crisis) and most poorly when the authors spend too much time dithering over what was, pull their punches and end up barely poking the edges of reality (Berlin, U2), or, worse yet, gloss over a dozen monumental changes without spending much time on anything (JFK). Of course, there are a few exceptions, such as when the alternate take is not discussed in detail, but the existing record is dramatized (Ben-Hur).
On a side note, I sought out this book primarily because of the title of the Cuban Missile Crisis episode. I was not disappointed. Written as an archival report of the United States from the new nation's capitol of Cheyenne Mountain (the real life site of NORAD), the work is a dispassionate rundown of the events leading to a one sided nuclear war. When nuclear war is the topic, no words can be said to be overly dramatic. Of all the morbidly fascinating phrases employed, "collapsing in the general devastation" and "wanton act of mega-arson" are so horrifying that they lapse into black humor.
RATING - I rate the book 4 stars, which in my book means, "I like it, but I don't love it," or this case, I loved it a lot less than I thought I would given the range of story material that could have been spun. My feelings remind me of the brilliance of the iTunes store, which enabled users to buy individual tracks instead of having to open wallets for entire albums. There are great essays, mediocre essays, and essays that are so light on the speculation that they barely belong in the book at all. Nevertheless, the work as a whole took me through a very entertaining jaunt through the annals of history and made me look down what was alternately an abyss of despair and a fountain of good tidings. If nothing else, authoritative speculation like this teaches that history is not always a lumbering thing with an inevitable course, but that it can turn on the smallest of players and most absurd of coincidences.
TL;DR: Far from greatness, but enough great moments to entertain, recommend and ultimately stoke the fires of imagination.