Full disclosure: I adore Rory Stewart. I am a huge fan of clinically insane people in government. I think he is incurably, fascinatingly insane, and I always find his writing clever and insightful. Plus, he walked across Asia, taught at Harvard then got elected to Parliament. Like I said, crazy. (Though he was elected in his homeland of Scotland, which probably explains a lot).
The overarching theme of the book is not terribly uplifting. The answer to the title is a qualified, "Maybe. If you're lucky." Stewart's descriptions of the people flying to Kabul made me laugh out loud while I listened in my car. "The tattooed men with bulging biceps were clearly bodyguards. The man who smiled compulsively had to be a missionary. Only a missionary would bring a blond 2 year old to Afghanistan." (I'll leave the darker implications of that to the reader and say only that the Afghans loooved my blond medic. He was not amused).
Stewart takes us on a tour de force of troop levels in Afghanistan from the invasion until the start of 2012. It's fascinating to learn that the Brits 'held' Helmand province with 200 soldiers in the middle part of the decade. When I was there we were drawing down from 30,000 or so. There is no way on God's green Earth (or that Hellscape He dumped in Helmand province) that that place was in any way pacified by 200 kafir soldiers. This all leads to Knauss' later conjecture that increased troop levels cause higher casualties (I'll buy correlation but not direct causation in this case). Stewart focuses largely on Afghanistan and Knauss on Bosnia, which is understandable, as that is where each of them had the bulk of their experience (though Stewart's chronicle of his year as a governor in Iraq was a fascinating- and, to me, helpful- book titled Prince of the Marshes), but it really does make the book a sequence of two essays and less of a coherent narrative.
The most depressing part of the book would actually have been funny if it had not cost lives. Stewart reads each new ISAF (or whatever they were called in the beginning) Commanding General's statement upon arriving in Afghanistan. For 10 years, all ten statements sounded exactly like this: "The last strategy didn't work, but this will be a decisive year as we have a new strategy and only need the resources to implement it." Ten times. It's awful to hear it read aloud by the narrator time after time, knowing how many lives were lost there.
Stewart also talks at lenght about the old British foreign service, and how language proficiency became a nonfactor in placement and promotion in (I think he said) 2005, and how they now select based on things I would specifically not hire people for my company if they had it on their resumes. "Women's and gender roles. Not 'Women's and gender roles in Afghanistan,' just 'Women's and gender roles.'" He seems genuinely astonished at the array of ways to say 'Theory of Government,' on a resume, and, at the risk of sounding like an old man that the world has passed by, I agree with him. I think you should have some language and cultural knowledge of the people you live/work with. I did, and it helped. During my time there I got more- and that helped more. (This I posit was both correlation and causation).
I found Stewart's tales of the old foreign service Brits in the Raj, serving 15 years in one place, then 16 in another, mind-bending. No wonder they were so good at administration- they were permanent residents! They build lasting, decades-long personal relationships! (I'm not advocating people living there. Though language skills and some time spent in cultural study would be helpful)
Stewart's piece is entertaining but not a positive look at nation-building, or intervention or whatever we are calling it.
Knauss talks extensively about Bosnia and the intervention there. I rewound the piece where he talked about how long NATO administered Bosnia because I thought I heard him wrong. I hadn't. It was 15 years at least. Quick show of hands, How many of you reading this knew that? (Put your hand down, Mom.)
I found this piece muddled and somewhat meandering; Knauss may not have Stewart's gift for delivering a foreign land onto paper. I learned quite a bit that I didn't know, but the upshot is that Bosnia is largely a functioning country where people have returned from whence they were ethincally cleansed. Which is good. I found some of the conclusions from the story at best unhelpful, though. The primary one of these was the aforemention increased force presence (say, as per Rand Corp plan) actually increases violence. What I can tell you is that if we didn't have troops out in Helmand, the Taliban would have gone about their daily business of extortion and occasional spasm of terror against the local populace (I will not comment here on the new regime simply being a change of actors and not actions when we leave).
The most depressing conclusion was that "Nation building under fire" has never worked. (The full sample size consists of all US work- Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan. So we're 0 for 3). Sample sizes are small (3), so we have to examine the methodology, but no one is sure which method works, so that is hard if not impossible to do. So the question remains: why did Bosnia work and Iraq/Afghanistan didn't? The most interesting theory Knauss put out is that entry to the EU was a carrot to get leaders who hated each other (and, indeed, each other's peoples demonstrably, having killed as many of them as possible) to if not work together, at least negotiate on things they could find common ground on. As opposed to say, murdering each other.
Ultimately, what you get out of this book is a sense of pessimism. I love anything by Rory Stewart, and if you are interested in foreign policy it is well worth the read. If you are not, read Prince of the Marshes for your Rory Stewart fix.
A final aside. Why do the voice actors feel the need to do accents? Do they have it in their contracts? This guy had a lilting Scottish accent and did a passable Afghan accent (even pronouncing "Afghan" "Illfan" the way they do), but his American accent was generally just a growl, and many of his other European ones were just comical (Italian was my favorite. I would actually get excited when I knew it was coming). Just read the book folks. I know it gets dull, but just read the book.