Robert Skidelsky is a British economic historian and emeritus professor of political economy at Warwick University. Skidelsky’s three-volume biography of John Maynard Keynes (1983, 1992, and 2000) has won five prizes, including the 1993 Wolfson History Prize. In addition, Skidelsky’s three-volume biography is considered by many economists to be the benchmark biography of John Maynard Keynes, perhaps the most influential economist.
What are the book’s specifics?
Skidelsky’s John Maynard Keynes: 1883–1946: Economist, Philosopher, Statesman, hereafter, ‘JMK: 1883–1946’, is the abridged version of his award-winning three-volume biography. Although JMK: 1883–1946 is 40 per cent smaller than the three-volume version, the book, excluding introduction, references, dramatic personae and index, is still an 853-page, or around a 340,000-word, adventure. Not a light read by any stretch of the imagination.
Who might like the book?
JMK: 1883–1946 will appeal to people who appreciate exemplary scholarship and fine detail. Readers might also appreciate the economic and twentieth-century political and social history woven throughout the book. Although, if the political machinations of international relations frustrate, then sections of JMK: 1883–1946 may not be enjoyable. Furthermore, Keynes’s ideas discussed in the book require some understanding of the quantity theory of money, effective demand, the balance of payments, the gold standard, fiscal and monetary policy and different exchange rate regimes. Readers unfamiliar with these topics may need to read more widely than the book to appreciate the book thoroughly.
What ground does the book cover?
Skidelsky does not leave many stones unturned. He begins JMK: 1883–1946 with a brief genealogy and sketch of the lives of Keynes’s parents. These early sketches emphasise his father’s foray into political economy, his choice to take an administration position at Cambridge University and life at Cambridge as each affected Keynes’s life profoundly. Skidelsky then focuses on Keynes’s early years, emphasising his academic life at Eton College and then King’s College, Cambridge. Next, Keynes’s membership of the Bloomsbury Group and his time in the India Office are explored. Next, Skidelsky goes into detail about Keynes’s relationships and personal ethics, with conclusions drawn by Skidelsky from Keynes’s private letters. Skidelsky also weaves in a narrative of the initially surprising but harmonious marriage to the Russian ballet dancer Lydia Lopokov. Skidelsky then shifts gears, and the book’s focus turns to Keynes’s public life. For example, the reader learns of Keynes’s contributions to the war effort whilst working at the British Treasury and his anger at the treaty of Versailles that resulted in Keynes’s influential book, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, 1919. The reader will also learn of Keynes’s extensive contributions to British and American economic policy, including ideas outlined in Keynes’s book, General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, 1936.
What are three things worth remembering?
John Maynard Keynes was an exceptionally hard-working and talented person whose contributions to economics continue to influence policy. Keynes’s ideas held less appeal during the oil crises and stagflation (simultaneously rising inflation and unemployment rates) of the 1970s and the Great Moderation (a period of reduced economic volatility in the United States between the mid-1980s and mid-2000s). However, Keynesian ideas were in vogue during the Great Recession (otherwise referred to as the Global Financial Crisis). As Robert Lucus, an American economist at the University of Chicago, said, “I guess everyone is a Keynesian in a foxhole”, meaning that Keynes’s ideas are more compelling during a recession.
At the heart of classical economics is the logic of choice under scarcity. In contrast, Keynesian economics is the logic of choice under uncertainty. One conclusion drawn by Skidelsky is that, due to uncertainty, expectations are not likely to be consistent with full-employment-level expectations. Without uncertainty, business investment would always equal savings, maintaining full employment; but because people are faced with uncertainty, investment can under or overshoot savings, which causes unemployment or high inflation. In short, macroeconomic disequilibrium is the norm in Keynesian economics rather than an exception to the norm, as can be taught in classical economics.
In a credit-money economy, a gold standard or pegged exchange rate limits the effectiveness of monetary policy to reduce a savings-investment gap, which avoids unemployment. The textbook case is the 1931 sterling devaluation. The unemployment rate was around 20 per cent of the insured British workforce, and the British trade balance had deteriorated. The situation should have led the Bank of England to reduce interest rates but, to maintain the gold standard, the Bank of England instead chose to increase interest rates. The result? Depressed effective demand in an economy that was already operating below full employment. The damage caused by market interest rates that were too high for domestic conditions and an overvalued currency could not persist in the face of mass unemployment, and the sterling was devalued in 1931. If the exchange rate had been floating, there would have been no need to attract capital inflows to support the sterling. Notably, the Bank of England could have used counter-cyclical monetary policy to address deficient effective demand if it wasn’t for the gold standard.
A final word
Readers of English non-fiction tend to read approximately 238 words per minute. So, one would expect to finish a 340,000-word book like JMK: 1883–1946 by committing slightly less than twenty-four hours to reading. However, reading the book over two weeks felt like guzzling wine labelled ‘contemplate’, given how much of the content is worthy of reflection and further exploration. For example, the sterling devaluation of 1931, the consequences of the treaty of Versailles, the Great Depression and the formulation of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank — not to mention the social and aesthetic changes exemplified by the Bloomsbury Group. So, take on the book, but go slow and explore beyond to learn and enjoy more.