With an interest in Australian politics, I’m a sucker for a good tell-all/warts and all analysis of the political leadership turmoil that has engulfed Australian politics over the past ten years. A few years ago I read Niki Savva’s 2017 book The Road to Ruin which was a compelling, insider view of the combustion of the Abbott government. Savva’s sources were extensive and surprisingly open which made for a juicy, gossipy read.
Plots and Prayers (2019) is her account of the overthrowing of Malcolm Turnbull and the rise of Scott Morrison. The style is similar to The Road to Ruin with a conversational tone which often makes it feel like you are simply having a chat with Savva who is filling you in on all the ins and outs of this particular political narrative. The narrative arc basically follows the events leading up to the leadership coup, a detailed account of what Savva labels “the days of madness” of the inner workings of the leadership change, and the aftermath, finishing with Scott Morrison’s election win in May of this year.
Savva interviews extensively for the book, and as a result she writes with great authority. Everyone she spoke to went on the record and some are brutal in their commentary. She pieces these interviews together effectively to create a total day by day, almost hour by hour sequence of events and perspectives on those events. These interviews sometimes feel repetitive, but they also offer a unique understanding of how politicians work, communicate and plot with and against one another during times of leadership uncertainty. I discovered a lot during the book about how leadership challenges actually work and what it means when they ‘do the numbers’. Savva’s interviews and commentary also offer some interesting thoughts about various electorates and how politicians work within them. For example, I understood more than I ever have the importance of Queensland and how it can make or break governments and elections. There is much about the way the Liberal and National parties (and the others do the same I’m sure) select their candidates and what factors they need to consider in relation to the concept of “electability”. Despite always knowing there is a great deal of self interest that drives the decisions many politicians make, this book depressingly completely confirms this cynical idea.
Savva also reveals a great deal of perspective on the major political players in this saga. Peter Dutton, for example, seems to be more liked in the Liberal party than I thought, with many discussing the way the personal Dutton is different to the political front he has calculated and created. I found this utterly astounding and unbelievable, but went some way to explaining why he thought he could be a leadership contender to begin with. Savva (and many others she interviews) are scathing in their assessment of the role Matthias Cormann played in the events of Turnbull’s removal, including his poor political judgement and his disloyalty. Savva asserts that he had the capacity to tell his colleagues to pull their heads in when it counted and he miscalculated this spectacularly. And don’t even get me started on Barnaby Joyce. Before reading this I already had a very low opinion of him, but Savva reiterates what a hypocritical, reprehensible, morally bankrupt fool he really is. Julie Bishop is the only MP that really comes off with even a shred of dignity. She is professional, loyal and courteous in her dealings with others, which is more than can be said for many of her colleagues. Despite being the best fundraiser, highly experienced and one of the most popular members of the party, Bishop is treated appallingly by her colleagues, seemingly dismissed without thought by those who would never put a woman in charge, and a moderate woman at that. Tony Abbott is portrayed as the unthinking buffoon that he is, with Savva seemingly tired of his vengeful shenanigans, stating simply, “He sacrificed respect for the sake of revenge.” (p.335)
Ultimately though, Savva gives detailed analysis of the myriad reasons why Turnbull was ousted – personal animosities within the Liberal party; Turnbull’s perceived left leaning politics; his aloofness; his commitment to ensuring same sex marriage legislation was passed; his inability to make a decision; his arrogance; his striving for environmental policy; his refusal to take on advice; his wealth and successful career as a lawyer prior to politics; his ‘Labor-liteness’; and, most importantly, revenge. Savva’s personal position is that while on paper Turnbull should have made a fantastic Prime Minister, he was shackled by a vicious right faction and he was terrible at politics. Up to the leadership challenge itself he failed to take on good political advice to ensure his survival, which only worked to upset more people, especially those who were on his side. It is clear that Savva, along with many of the people she interviewed, are disappointed with Turnbull’s time as PM, and the ridiculous way he was dismissed.
Like with The Road to Ruin, I found I wanted more polishing of the book’s conclusion. Savva finishes by giving an account of Morrison’s rise to the top job. Despite the illusion that he fell into the leadership by accident, through her sources Savva makes clear that this is not the case, and that his people had been working on his numbers for some time. When opportunity came knocking, Morrison jumped at the chance. Unlike Turnbull, Morrison is portrayed as much better at the game of politics. The fact that he came out of the leadership stoush on top and without blood on his hands is testament to this. She also gives a detailed reflection and analysis of the ensuing federal election, outlining the huge mistakes made by Labor in their campaign, the unpopularity of Shorten, and the way Morrison single handed was able to cut through with voters, despite muting everyone else in his party and going to an election with no clear policy platform. Although she concludes with some interesting food for thought about how long Morrison himself may last in the job when she writes:
“Regardless of the party-room rule changes that have made it difficult to remove sitting prime ministers, and despite his unexpected victory, the political parlour games will never stop. They are a fact of life for any leader in whatever party…Governments do not have the luxury of marking time. Nor can they get away with leaving vacuums, or with thinking that perpetual campaigning can substitute for governing, or keep pointing at what the opposition is doing wrong and profiting from it.” (p.366)
Savva implies that Morrison’s inertia when it comes to creating policy will grate within his party and with the public at large. She also highlights Morrison’s Pentecostalism and just how much this makes many of his colleagues nervous.
Despite the fine detail, I wanted more from Savva about what the revolving leadership change and the nation’s response to it says about the nature of democracy and the political system in Australia. Savva concludes by summing up that with Morrison or Turnbull, the fact is that the Libs were probably destined to win the election regardless, and that the change of leadership was madness. Essentially, the real loser is the nation itself, because while ever you have governments that are too preoccupied with personal ambition to work in the national interest, and an electorate who refuses to punish them for it, nothing will ever change.