An invaluable guide to a rapidly changing world Nearly two decades have passed since thepublication of the groundbreaking national bestsellerMegatrends--and a remarkable number of itscontroversial prophecies have come to pass. Nowthe forecasters who accurately predicted the shape ofthe '80s turn their sights on the coming new century.And what they see will astound, excite, and profoundlytouch the lives of each and every one of us.
After serving in the U.S. Marine Corps and after finishing his studies in at Utah, Cornell and Harvard, he worked as an executive in the coporate world, was called to be Assistant Secretary of Education under President Kennedy when he was 34, and worked as Special Assistant for President Johnson. He has witnessed America going throubled times and good times. He has traveled the world since the late 1960s, keeping in close touch with corporations and people in many fields of endeavor. He has spoken to virtually every major corporation, to many several times. His cultural life and residence in the United States, Europe and now China keeps him in direct in touch with a changing economic environment -- experience that is reflected in the books he has written.
His international bestseller Megatrends sold more than 9 million copies and was on the New York Times bestsellerlist for more than two years, mostly as number one. John Naisbitt published the international bestsellers Re-inventing the Corporation in 1985, Megatrends 2000 in 1990, which was published in 32 countries and was the Number One bestseller in the U.S., Japan, and Germany, and Megatrends for Women in 1992 (co-authored with Patricia Aburdene). His Japanese language book, Japan's Identity Crisis, was released in 1992 and was a bestseller in Japan.
His 1994 book, Global Paradox, received England's World Review Award for The Best Book of The Year. Megatrends Asia 1995, was a bestseller in the German language and in Asia. High Tech High Touch, was published in the fall of 1999 and has since been published in 17 countries. His last book Mind Set! was published in 42 countries. The Wall Street Journal called his work “triumphantly useful…taking bearings in all directions and giving us the courage to do the same.”
* Studied at Harvard, Cornell and Utah Universities * Former executive with IBM and Eastman Kodak * Assistant Secretary of Education to President Kennedy * Special Assistant to President Johnson * Former visiting fellow at Harvard University, visiting professor at Moscow State University, and current faculty member at the * Nanjing University in China * Distinguished International Fellow, Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS), Malaysia -- the first non-Asian to hold this appointment * Recipient of 15 honorary doctorates in the humanities, technology and science Source: His Official Web page
Need a hobby? Take up trend-predicting. It's fun, it's easy, and you never loose.* It's like being psychic, only classier. And, if you want to avoid any culpability in stating something really stupid, you can always couch your inferences as questions, such as "Is YA too dark?".
I predict that trend-spotting is going to be huge, and that many more writers will try to carve out names for themselves at it. I also predict that at some point, every single reader of trend books will throw one across the room in frustration and swear them off forever more.
Feel free to share your book-related trends with me. If enough people play along we can form meta-trends.
*It's perfectly acceptable to identify two equal and opposing trends, because, hey, with more than 6 billion people in the world, there's going to be a large group doing whatever crazy-ass thing you come up with.
This is another book that predicted where we'd be before we got here. The key concept that still keeps evolving was "high tech, high touch". Think: email, RSS, IM, Twitter, your video iPod, teleconferencing, the Wii, World of Warcraft and on and on.
I read this book in a career counseling course in the mid 1980's. It set me apart from many people in my generation who were not paying attention to the changes in our economy. I was able to understand and benefit from this book in a practical way.
Years ago after reading his earlier book "Megatrends" in 1982 I had the good fortune to spend an afternoon with John Naisbitt discussing his futuristic forecasts about our changing world. Several years later I left a good corporate position to start my own company inspired by our one-on-one meeting and forecasts set forth in his earlier book. I followed his vision and 35 years later conclude most of predictions have been proven correct. His books offer ageless counsel to those who are ambitious and willing to make sacrifices to achieve lasting self satisfaction in life and business. I also recommend reading Alvin Toeffler's book "The Third Wave".
I have read more accurate daily weather predictions.
"Regional conflicts in the 1990s will not involve the superpowers very much. Vietnam and Afghanistan taught the United States and the USSR the excessive cost of attempting to resolve differences through military power."
"The power balance in the world is not likely to change very much in the 1990s. Single-market Europe will have a great presence, but so will North America. The United States will continue throughout the 199s to be the world's biggest economy-by far".
Besides a good Author and Proven Future Forecaster; John Nesbit is a Truly Wise and Kind Individual, who almost radiates Warmth and Contentment. He must be doing _Something_ Right! At least so are my 11-year-old Memories from 1990, when my father, World Renowned Architect Theodore W. Brown (http://www.tbrownarchitect.com), Custom-Designed a Massive and Awesome Log-Cabin-esq Mansion for John in Telluride, Colorado, later featured in Architectural Digest.
John and his equally impressive wife Patricia Aburdine(at the time, now I am pleasantly surprised to learn, she is a Future Forecaster, herself!)were both working on MegaTrends 2000, after the Super-Success of John's Prediction's in MegaTrends were ALL COMING TO PASS... At Christmas, John gave me an Authentic Hopi Bear Fetish, of Green Stone, with a Lapis-Lazuli Arrowhead tied to his back, as my name "Barrett" is Teutonic and means "Mighty as a Bear, or Bear-Like," thus one of the most thoughtful gifts I've ever been given. His wife gave me a bizarre 15,000 year-old Fossilized Fish of some Type, still half-carved in rock (Perhaps Future Forecasting my Academic Calling to Anthropology?), which my mother assured me, to my utter befuddlement, had cost a Small Fortune. I never quite understood that Fossil... But it stayed with me for many years and I'd look at it Quizickly, from time to time.
That Christmas John gave me one of the Kindest and most Insightful COMPLIMENTS that, I think, anyone has ever given to me. Spoken to my Father, within earshot; "That boy is so far in front of the Parade, most people don't even realize that he is _in_ it!" <3
Read this 20 years ago when I was totally New Age, not long out of Findhorn. Back then Naisbitt's New Age optimism spoke to me. I am afraid to say today, though, that this book is far too rosy-tinted about the future.
The wold faces very, very serious problems and whilst we mustn't despair, we need more than naive optimism. Thus I left the New Age behind and went looking elsewhere ...