Questions of when the Second World War became an inevitable Allied victory usually center around titanic battles like Midway, El Alamein, Stalingrad, Kursk, D-Day, or the Bulge, to name a few. All of these are viable candidates, but framing them as the solution begs the question of was it actually a battle that turned the tide?
Lukacs predicates this book around the idea that the most crucial phase of the war was before December 7, 1941, that the summer of 1940 was the central period of that phase, and that the days of May 24-28 were the defining pin on which the war’s ultimate conclusion turned. That’s a bold statement, but not, as Lukacs shows, one without reason. When one considers the months following Winston Churchill’s assumption of the Premiership, one is drawn towards his speeches, or towards the miracle at Dunkirk, or the bravery and skill of the RAF during the Battle of Britain, or the fortitude of the British people during the Blitz. What is extraordinary about the five days of Friday the 24th to Tuesday the 28th is that they possess virtually none of those. Except for the early stages of the Dunkirk evacuation, none of the highlights of that summer are present during this crucial passage of time. So what makes those days so important?
In short, it was by fighting through opposition within in his own War Cabinet that Churchill came to the conclusion that Britain, no matter what befell it or its allies, would not and could not surrender, that to do so would mean the end of Western Civilization, and that it would be dooming Europe and perhaps much more to wanton tyranny of a kind hardly imaginable. From this resolve, which was not solidified on Friday but as night fell on Tuesday was the official position of His Majesty’s Government, flowed a refusal to hear peace terms brokered by Italy and a decision to not doom the BEF to disaster in France, among others. Much of Lukacs’s narrative takes place in War Cabinet meetings, where Churchill battled it out with his peace-above-all-else Foreign Secretary, Lord Halifax. As the 5-day period began, Churchill was optimistic about the French Army’s changes against the Wehrmacht and full of confidence in France’s government to continue the fight. He was also not entirely opposed to a brokered peace initiated by Mussolini.
One enormous factor changed this calculation: the complete inability of the French Army and the British Expeditionary Force to withstand blitzkrieg. With the French government falling apart under the shocks of the German army making it farther in 1 week than it had in four years just 25 years prior, Halifax forcefully made the case that only by pursuing peace could Britain save any part of itself. The central contention of these five days was Churchill steadily hardening his position, grounded in the now indisputable fact that a British Empire that made Hitler tear her piece by piece would at worst buy time for the Commonwealth, and at best withstand the brunt and provide a fortress for a free and liberal world to win back Europe. But on the other hand an Empire that capitulated and allowed a German overlordship of Europe would never stand, and any allies would be hard pressed to aid her and when they did her society, her government, and her economy would be incapable of sustaining a war effort.
While his speech to the Commons on June 4 occurred after the dates of this history, his promise, not even to the British people but to the free world, laid bare this resolution. His confidence in the British people to provide space for the "Empire beyond the seas, armed and guarded by the British Fleet, [to] carry on the struggle, until, in God's good time, the New World, with all its power and might, steps forth to the rescue and the liberation of the old,” was the same confidence that propelled him to refuse Halifax’s urging and commit to outliving Hitler, if necessary for years, if necessary alone.
This was the central resolve of Churchill, and his victory over Halifax, not won by overpowering him with oratory in private, but my slowly internalizing the support of his larger coalition government and the British people, is one of the remarkable achievements of his long life and career. It was, purely put, his stubborn bravery and love for that ‘royal seat of kings and precious stone in the silver sea’ as Shakespeare described England that compelled him to withstand the temptation of striking a devil’s bargain. There are parts of the Churchill legacy that are hyperbolic, that do not withstand scrutiny. But his actions in May 1940, and his tenacious refusal to squander the legacy of his home to a inherently unquenchable evil was a moment of divinely-inspired leadership perhaps unmatched in modern history. Indeed, Churchill could not win the war, but he was perhaps the only one who could lose it. As he made clear in his speech to the House of Commons after assuming the Prime Ministership, his only aim was victory. In the end, after a long, hard road, it was achieved.