“The Fate of Empires: Being an Inquiry into the Stability of Civilization” by Arthur John Hubbard.
It is interesting to note that this book was published in 1913, one year before the beginning of the Great War. Ideas about humanity, race, religion, politics and society were to be revolutionized forever after the end of the first global conflict. The 20th century gave place to the weakening of the European theatre at the world stage and the consolidation of the American one; however, this transmission of hegemony from old world to new world was still within the boundaries of Western civilization. The United States is the natural offspring of centuries of European history, philosophy, religion and race, just as the Romans were descendants of Ancient Greece.
As the 20th century progressed, the indicators that Hubbard points out in the book (declining birthrates, depopulation, secularism, hedonism) became more apparent and coincided with the increasing prosperity and liberties gained in both Europe and North America. Today, these two regions are amongst the most developed in the world and enjoy some of the highest standards of living. One main question arises: Are these lifestyles sustainable?
At no point in history has humanity been so rich, healthy and successful, specifically in the Western world. Child mortality, extreme poverty, infectious diseases, and famines are at their lowest points ever recorded. Our advances on science and technology and the consolidation of the global economy have overall created a better world in every corner of the world. However, in these processes there are always winners and losers.
Certainly, the Western world has highly benefitted from this achieved prosperity but at a certain cost. As its standards of living increased, education levels went up and birth rates have fallen dramatically. It is ironic that many Westerners “fear” the demographic consequences of mass immigration when their greatest fear should be their voluntary extinction in the first place. Likewise, one of their main sacrifices was its religious identity. Since the Renaissance and the Enlightenment, the Western world has progressively pursued the way of reason and science in lieu of its centuries-old religious past. The erosion of religious influence from the political and societal arena began during the great revolutions (French Revolution and American Revolution) and concluded around the great wars of our time (WWI and WWII). Afterwards, the perpetuation of reason and progress would be our guiding light going into the future, religion lost its protagonist role for good in the Western world.
In 1913, Hubbard was aware of the changes that were taking place in the Western and non-Western world. He would be astonished to see the result of this process. Particularly, he would be surprised that the Western world is far better off than it was 100 years ago; however, the higher the rise, the harder the fall. He might conclude that these victories are only prolonging the inevitable: the fall of Western civilization. Hubbard might even be more surprised to know that the Chinese civilization, one that awed him, is on the rise and has global domination ambitions.
Hubbard argues that humans have two great stresses: competition and reproduction. At certain historical moments we pursue one more than the other, in others we try to integrate them. Both relate to our evolutionary traits of reflect, instinct, reason and religious motive (in that order). As humans left the cave, one of these more evolved traits subjugated the less evolved ones: instinct conquered reflex, reason tries to dominate instinct. Nonetheless, the eradication of less evolved traits is simply impossible and undesirable. While reason is aimed at societal aims such as increasing our standard of living, instinct is aimed at racial aims such as reproduction. In the middle lies the individual who must reconcile its racial and societal objectives. A triangle composed of the individual, race, and society is formed.
Reason compels the human to the fulfillment of individual and societal duties while sacrificing the stresses of parenthood. On the other hand, parenthood and reproduction are self-sacrifice actions aimed at the perpetuation of the human race. In this case, one might assume that reason is the higher value given that it is the most “recent” one and leads to better standards of living. However, just as instinct, its uncontrolled and unchecked dominion could lead to the debacle of civilizations. One of the main objectives of reason is to reduce the wastefulness of other human traits; for instance, reproduction and religion are deemed as mere obstacles in the pursuit of progress and must be relegated. Can a civilization be sustained purely by reason? According to Hubbard, it is not possible because civilizations cannot live by reason alone, stability is reached through the supranational. What is this supranational element? The religious motive.
The religious motive allows us to anchor our actions beyond our time, the significance of life is found in its relation to the infinite and the universe. According to Hubbard, the religious motive can be geocentric or cosmocentric. Their main difference is their relation to time; while the former focuses on the here and now (i.e. Stoic philosophy), the latter goes beyond the human conception of time (i.e. Christianity). The cosmocentric religious motive is better aimed at attaining our racial and societal objectives through self-sacrifice than the geocentric religious motive. “Geocentric actions seeks a permanent civilization as an end, but cannot attain it. Cosmocentric actions attains it, but does not seek it as an end.” Moreover, the cosmocentric religious motive possesses the power to retain the competition spirit demanded by individual/societal impulses and the reproductive need demanded by racial impulses. It works as mechanism that gives significance and a path to both.
Hubbard’s thesis is that enduring civilizations cannot live on instinct or reason alone, their permanence is attained by securing the preservation of race and restraining pure reason through cosmocentric religious motive and the solidity of family units. In this case, the author utilizes three civilizations to present his thesis: Rome, Greece, and China.
Gibbon wrote: “The various modes of worship which prevailed in the Roman world were all considered by the people as equally true; by the philosopher as equally false; and by the magistrate as equally useful”. In this sense, the religious motive in Rome was connected to the State but only for practical purposes, it was geocentric in nature. This practicality led to the dominion of reason over instinct and its consequences on birthrates and social norms. A childless and gratifying lifestyle was highly sought in Roman society in lieu of a lifestyle of family and self-sacrifice. “Pure reason had extirpated the great breed of the builders of Rome, and civilizations suffered an eclipse that lasted for a thousand years”.
Ancient Greece is a peculiar example given their high development of reason, the shortness of its duration, and the suddenness of its vanishment. The Greeks achieved one of the most influential but short-lived civilizations by focusing exclusively on reason and population control (birth control, eugenics). Eventually, this “great breed” died out.
China is the civilization that most intrigues Hubbard. A millenary nation united by its heritage and cosmocentric religious motive. Its endurance lies in the sustained racial preservation through a sense of religious duty. The chain of worship is through the patriarchal family unit that goes all the way back to the Creator to their more proximate ancestors. “And, if the chain thus extends backwards, so also must it reach forwards. The chain of worship must not be broken; it must never come to an end.” It is through the Tao (the path) that the Chinese civilization is in contact with the infinite, serves in self-sacrifice, and acquires cosmocentric significance. This focus on racial subsistence has been in detriment of the attainment of societal objectives but highlights notable traits such as the nobility of their individual character and their sense of cosmocentric duty.
As I finished this book, I kept thinking about how Hubbard would assess our current world. The Chinese civilization is still on the rise. The Western world appears to be “declining”. It appears that the obstacles faced by China according to Hubbard have for the most part disappeared. On the one hand, China’s societal and technological development during past decades has astounded the world; on the other, their racial potency due to its massive population was stalled by the one-child policy. Moreover, the arrival of the Communist regime led to the official eradication of the Chinese religious motive; however, many of its traits were preserved in the form of Taoist and Confucian values that still are highly influential in Chinese society.
Considering the above, is the current Western civilization condemned to vanish? What can we do to prevent or slow this process? Has Christianity reached the end of its useful life as a cosmocentric religious mechanism?
This thought-proving book leaves me with great lessons that I summarize with the following quotes:
“History is philosophy teaching by examples”- Thucydides
“In the long run, the world belongs to the unworldly; that in the end, empire is to those to whom empire is nothing”- Arthur John Hubbard
“Blessed are the meek for they shall inherit the earth”- Mathew 5:5