What's really going on economically speaking
In this modest volume, economic journalist and Harvard-trained economist Daniel Altman attempts to explain what the so-called neoconservatives, who are directing President Bush's economic policies, are up to. Altman calls it a revolution that will greatly increase the chasm between the rich and the poor and create a new kind of society based not on merit but on inherited wealth and advantage.
The neocon's main idea is to abolish taxes on capital and earnings from capital. Their rationale is that untaxed capital will be more readily invested leading to a rising tide of economic prosperity that will lift all segments of society. Yes, the rich will get richer, but through "trickle down" and a booming economy, the poor and the middle class will also gain.
Such is the theory. Because such theories cannot be adequately tested on models, we can only find out if they work by testing them in the actual economy (which may be the real reason economics is called "the dismal science"). The problem--as Altman advises--is that if they fail, the consequences may be horrific. If the rich get too rich and the poor too poor and the middle class disappears--well, such is the stuff of revolutions, witness Europe in the 19th and 20th centuries.
Here are the taxes the neocons want abolished: the estate tax; taxes on interest, dividends and capital gains; and the corporate income tax. Here's what famed invested Warren Buffet thinks about the abolition of the estate tax:
"Without the estate tax, you in effect will have an aristocracy of wealth, which means you pass down the ability to command the resources of the nation based on heredity rather than merit." (p. 250) Clearly he's agin it. I might add that the ironic example of the very mediocre George W. Bush as president of the United States is perhaps an early example of what Buffet is afraid of.
Feeling much the same way is Thomas Piketty, director of the School for Advanced Studies in the Social Sciences, whom Altman quotes as saying: "These new high-income tax cuts, together with all the previous tax cuts (including the repeal of the estate tax), will eventually contribute to rebuild a class of rentiers in the US, whereby a small group of wealthy but untalented children controls vast segments of the US economy and penniless, talented children simply can't compete... If such a tax policy is maintained, there is a decent probability that the US will look like Old Europe prior to 1914 in a couple of generations." (p. 241)
I don't have any doubt that people like George W. Bush are partially motivated by a desire to create sharp class distinctions and to increase the privilege of their friends and relatives. But there is more to the lopsided tax cuts than that. As Altman explains on pages 166-167, one of the effects of the huge tax cuts by the Bush administration is to tie the hands of his successors. "Forced to deal with deficits...they would [read: will] be hard-pressed to spend money on...social programs... They might even have to raise taxes just to avoid cutting spending." To put it bluntly: Bush 43 is spending not only our children's and our grandchildren's money, but the money of future administrations.
As Altman notes, this strategy was employed before by Ronald Reagan. Only trouble was, "his successor was not a Democrat, but his own vice president, George H. W. Bush." (p. 167) And, as you'll recall, Bush 41 turned out to be a one-term president, giving way to Bill Clinton.
Okay, is Altman's critique correct? Or are the neocons really working to take the nation to an economic heaven on earth?
I'm not sure, and the economists I have read are in disagreement. This book does not prove anything one way or the other of course. What Altman does, and he does it admirably with a calm voice and verbal restraint (too much restraint for my taste, by the way) is chronicle what has happened and point to what we can expect in the future if the neocons get their way. Obviously, he doesn't like the potential consequences, and neither do I.
Bottom line: a nice primer on Bush's economy policies, a bit too leisurely developed, but all told a kind of eye-popping indictment.
--Dennis Littrell, author of the mystery novel, “Teddy and Teri”