For full disclosure, I only read this because i) it was lying around unclaimed in the office near the printer (fancy hard cover version at that) and ii) I didn't have anything else to read on me, was to take a very long flight the next day and I needed 2 more books to get to my Goodreads target for the year..
So the circumstances turned fortuitous because otherwise this isn't the genre that id usually pick. That said, it would've been a shame if I had missed this. The book does well on the golden rule that one should apply to all books with a highly technical subject matter - can a non expert understand and appreciate the points made throughout. Stephen King has written the book in a very clear, simple language without using too many technical jargons. That should help a lay reader get a very good grasp of this very interesting topic ie what's the future of the west.
The only negative point I would point out is that the book does gives across as very opinionated (Mr King might say "what else were you expecting mate? Im paid to give views.") and might have done well to factor in a very simple rule - things change and very quickly at that. In fact, I'll be very interested to read a follow up where he does a compare of where he thought we were headed vs where we have gotten to in the last 15 odd years since this book.
In my view there are many things that have happened that don't necessarily go with the book's conclusion.
- First. China and Chinese economy have gone significantly south. They've become more anxious wrt political criticism, real estate burst has left the economy struggling and an ageing population is now increasingly a factor against China and not for them as so much of this book argued. The fact that China is most likely over the population dividend hump without becoming a rich economy might be a significant factor in the world order.
- Second. India has come up in a massive way and while it'll struggle to become a replacement, it can easily be a China+1 wrt the west. However, given political winds in the country let's wait and watch if they somehow manage to get more like china with authoritarianism and fundamentalism or does it stay a vibrant democracy (my hope for the second) which succeeds with the "western" model.
- Third. The world has gone bonkers and there are multiple wars on along with serious potential for a bunch of new ones triggering. This potentially means that a whole lot of progress achieved by some of the EM economies may get set back and hand over the initiative back to the US.
Hence, look forward to a follow up to see his thoughts.
While I was very happy with this read and was on the verge of a 5 star, l have eventually gone with a 4 because, well, tbh any book about the economy etc probably doesn't deserve a 5. That said, very interesting and I'd recommend if you're in the mood for some real life understanding of various factors that are affecting the world.