text is designed for an introductory probability course at the university level for sophomores, juniors, and seniors in mathematics, physical and social sciences, engineering, and computer science. It presents a thorough treatment of ideas and techniques necessary for a firm understanding of the subject. The text is also recommended for use in discrete probability courses. The material is organized so that the discrete and continuous probability discussions are presented in a separate, but parallel, manner. This organization does not emphasize an overly rigorous or formal view of probabililty and therefore offers some strong pedagogical value. Hence, the discrete discussions can sometimes serve to motivate the more abstract continuous probability discussions. Key ideas are developed in a somewhat leisurely style, providing a variety of interesting applications to probability and showing some nonintuitive ideas. Over 600 exercises provide the opportunity for practicing skills and developing a sound understanding of ideas. Numerous historical comments deal with the development of discrete probability. The text includes many computer programs that illustrate the algorithms or the methods of computation for important problems.
"One may summarize these results by stating that one should not get drunk in more than two dimensions."
The above is the most extraordinary sentence one can find in a university textbook on advanced mathematics! Charles M. Grinstead's and J. Laurie Snell's Introduction to Probability (Second Edition, 1997) is indeed a most remarkable textbook, by far the best text that I have ever used in my almost 40 years of teaching undergraduate mathematics and computer science. Probability was my favorite field of mathematics during my own studies in the early 1970s, but I somehow avoided teaching it, most likely because I had not found a textbook that I really liked. Until Grinstead and Snell.
Standard textbooks heavily focus on the combinatorial aspects of probability, which do not interest me too much. When I teach the upper-division probability course I love to emphasize the calculus-based approach, particularly when it involves multidimensional calculus and its applications to joint probability distributions. Grinstead and Snell's approach is virtually tailor-made for my probability course.
The second factor that makes me love the textbook is the emphasis on random numbers and pseudo-random variables generation. Having worked in the field of mathematical modeling and simulation for over 40 years I believe this is a natural approach to ground the probability course in. Grinstead and Snell's geometry-based problems that use the cumulative distribution functions to find the densities are a wonderful teaching tool: the students can also appreciate the applications of calculus: many of my students seemed to like discovering the connections.
Yet another great feature of the textbook is its emphasis on the moment generating function. Naturally, it is used to prove the Central Limit Theorem, the fundamental theorem of probability and the foundation of statistics. I follow the mathematical argument in class every time I teach the course so that math majors can appreciate a little more elaborate proof than the usual toy ones.
I also love the inclusion of a chapter of random walks (from which the epigraph is taken). When teaching partial differential equations (another of my favorite fields in math) I often discuss the Tour du Wino method of numerically solving the Laplace equation, which uses the random walks approach. The authors provide the famous proof by Pólya, which shows that a random walk must eventually return to the origin in one or two dimensions, but not necessarily for higher dimensions.
Of many other nice features of the textbook I should mention the authors' clear treatment of the Bayes' Theorem and the fascinating Historical Remarks that accompany many chapters. A truly wonderful book! The best textbook I have ever used!
This is an excellent -- and free -- introduction to probability theory. Grinstead and Snell do a great job filling in the gaps left by most statistics classes. And leads the diligent reader to think, and relaibly answer the question "well, what are the odds?"
The text covers not only classical, discrete probability, but also looks at continuous probability density functions. If you've had basic calculus, you can follow the examples relatively easily. But even if you haven't, its great to see a text that will help you understand probability. Alsmost like a gambler would conceive of it.
For example, LeBron James shoots 90% freethrows, what are his odds of making two-in-a-row? They are only 81%. And his odds of making three-in-a-row only 78%...
3-star = "I liked it." Used for self-study. Pros: - for the most part, fun motivations and helpful examples - I don't have much reference, but as far as I can tell, it covers a nice variety of introductory topics at a substantive depth; I generally like the organization and topics chosen, etc. - Generally enjoyed the historical remarks sections, as well as the lighter forays into niche areas
Cons: - some portions, I felt I've seen explained in better intuition elsewhere - also, some parts, the language is a little vague/confusing. Some places go into rabbit holes that could ideally be marked "optional" or something, to be honest.
Overall: nice book but probably more useful for a class than for beginning self-study. But I don't have much context, because I haven't really surveyed the options :P
Introduction made me think of not going ahead with this one. Still I was patient enough to go through all the book. I think its not the introduction/introductory book for the newbie.