Everything Is Predictable: How Bayes' Remarkable Theorem Explains the World

by Tom Chivers

336 pages, Paperback

Published April 24, 2025

About the author

Librarian Note: There is more than one author in the Goodreads database with this name.
This is the "catch-all profile".

Author of How to Read Numbers, Everything Is Predictable, The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy - Tom Chivers
Author of London Clay, The Reward of Loyalty, poetry books - Tom Chivers

Reviews

[Gradient flow · Rating 4 out of 5]

挺好的统计学科普了吧
很适合各种数学基础（包含无概率基础）的人看了

[Alexander Gschrei · Rating 5 out of 5]

Excellent and carefully researched book that strikes a balance between going deep where it needs to and staying light enough to be a popular science book.
If you expect a rigorous text book full of formulas and proofs then this is not for you, but if you're looking to understand the concepts behind bayesian reasoning with concrete examples even non-statisticians can follow, this is well worth a read.
I am thoroughly impressed with the author's ability to abstract away a lot of the complexity when it is not needed to drive home a specific point while staying factual or adding disclaimers whenever simplifications are made.

[Matthijs Prinsen · Rating 5 out of 5]

witty, well explained and indeed a new way to look at the world.
would highly recommend to anyone (vaguely) interested in statistics