The best payoffs I've had at the track were generated by extreme pace aberrations. Those nice payoffs didn't come from pedestrians. I'm talking about thieves and carpetbaggers, opportunists who were ordinary but found themselves in extraordinary situations - the right place, the right time. When I started playing the extreme pace way, it made such a difference that I dedicated my handicapping life to it. Extreme Pace Handicapping will show you what made the difference and why. It's simple, really. I like to call it pace picture doodling. If you doodle it, they will The Thief, The Clever Thief, The Loner, and the Carpetbagger. Includes one FREE month of the PACEAPPRAISER PPs. Here's Buy the book. Go to the author's website (see About the Author at the end of the book for website address). Send a copy of your Amazon receipt along with your first and last name. You will receive your login information by return email.
Randy Giles, Extreme Pace Handicapping: If You Doodle, They Will Come (CreateSpace, 2008)
I'm always kind of wary of handicapping books. Some really, really bad ones have been published by major (well, major for handicapping, anyway) presses. So when you combine vanity publishing and handicapping, things can sometimes reach depths to which no sane man should ever stoop. (Case in point: Richard Cromie's Mr. Trifecta.) But I actually found a copy of this at my local Half-Price Books for something akin to a reasonable price a couple of days after I added it to the TBR list. Seemed like providence to me, so I picked it up. I've had a recent run of bad handicapping books, and I realize that may be clouding my judgment, but I'll tell you what—despite the seeming silliness of the subtitle (which really doesn't have much to do with anything) and the fact that you can get most of this from reading between the lines in back issues of the Cramer-Olmsted Report published in the nineties (which you can't get anymore unless you subscribed back then anyway), this ain't a bad little book. In fact, I was pretty impressed with it, given what it is.
The basic idea here will be familiar to readers of authors like Mitchell, Olmsted, and of course Sartin and his crowd: that pace makes the race. Giles separates out four different kinds of pace profiles into which winning horses often fit. If you're a student of pace handicapping, you've probably seen this a number of times, but Giles tweaks the parameters somewhat and focuses on specific horses once you've done some initial analysis, tossing the rest of the field into the hopper. I haven't gotten out to the track much this year, so I haven't had a chance to test any of this out, but the premise is sound, the book is well-put-together (if a little slim; a good chunk of it has to do with track profiles that were out of date long before you started reading this review, which always irks me) and, for a vanity pub, astonishingly well proofread. A pleasant surprise all around. ***