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Sequential Analysis

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In 1943, while in charge of Columbia University's Statistical Research Group, Abraham Wald devised Sequential Design, an innovative statistical inference system. Because the decision to terminate an experiment is not predetermined, sequential analysis can arrive at a decision much sooner and with substantially fewer observations than equally reliable test procedures based on a predetermined number of observations. The system's immense value was immediately recognized, and its use was restricted to wartime research and procedures. In 1945, it was released to the public and has since revolutionized many aspects of statistical practice.
This book is Professor Wald's own description of the system. Part I contains a discussion of the general theory of the sequential probability ratio test, with comparisons to traditional statistical inference systems. Part II discusses applications that illustrate the general theory and raise points of theoretical interest specific to these applications. Part III outlines a possible approach to the problem of sequential multi-valued decisions and estimation. All three sections can be understood by readers with only a background in college algebra and a first course in calculus. Mathematical derivations of somewhat intricate nature appear in the appendix.
Sequential Analysis offers statistical researchers a time- and money-saving approach, introduces students to one of the major systems in contemporary use, and presents those already acquainted with the system with valuable background information.

224 pages, Paperback

First published January 1, 2013

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Abraham Wald

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Profile Image for Karl.
221 reviews27 followers
May 21, 2016
So, usually math books of this vintage are unreadable, but Wald's clear thought and exposition make this...not a joy to read, but useful and mostly easy going.

The obvious applications of this to streaming data - at a volume Wald could only have dreamed of - mean that sequential hypothesis testing is probably already a big deal, but I'm just stumbling on it now. Can't wait to code up an example to show off how much more efficient this is than normal, fixed sample size hypothesis testing.
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