The IMF has been a major participant in the challenge of transforming many African, Asian, and European countries from centrally planned to market economies. The authors of this book, mainly staff members of the IMF, have distilled their firsthand experience with fiscal reform in transition economies into 15 case studies of these countries. In doing so they analyze issues of privatization, fiscal federalism, social safety nets, and the net worth of the Soviet Union.
My review begins by identifying various transition gaps in the study of fiscal reforms, including information gaps, conceptual gaps, skills gaps, and financial gaps, as noted by editor Vito Tanzi. Currently, Sri Lanka is grappling with a severe financial crisis, experiencing all four of these gaps. Furthermore, the collapse of the Sri Lankan economy can be attributed to arbitrary policy decision-making by the executive, as highlighted in a source article (source: https://www.ft.lk/columns/My-View-com...).
In the face of this crisis, if domestic savings cannot be generated, the inevitability of seeking foreign assistance becomes apparent. This is evident in Sri Lanka's reliance on support from international institutions, including the IMF, for a debt restructuring program. It is crucial to acknowledge that the economy's dependence on external aid signals the need for comprehensive institutional reforms, privatization, and financial market reforms, which may extend over a decade.
In particular, institutional reforms and privatization should be incorporated into a ten-year plan, along with other financial market reforms that may span beyond ten years. These reforms are essential for transforming self-reliant economies into competitive markets. Actions such as restructuring commercial banks, revamping public enterprises, and implementing a comprehensive tax system on profit enterprises are imperative in the short and medium term.
While many affluent countries provide subsidies for their citizens, a significant challenge faced by developing nations is the prevalent practice of bribery to gain and sustain power, especially during pre and post-election periods. This phenomenon poses a genuine threat to democracy, akin to a hanging noose.
To effectively address these challenges, the country should establish its own parameters for public finance rather than blindly adopting a Western model. Every transaction related to public finance must be conducted through banks to ensure transparency and accountability. The collection of taxes and wages from enterprises necessitates the implementation of a Western-style tax administration for the local body tax system.
The reform of financial institutions is contingent upon a significant portion of individual wealth, encompassing factors such as prices, wages, interest rates, exchange rates, and the buying and selling of assets. Investment and savings are also determined by individual earning and saving decisions, which can only be altered through a legitimate legislative process. It is undeniable that the reduction of savings interest rates by commercial banks could potentially lead customers into bankruptcy if they default on their savings loans.
As the editor rightly pointed out, "large price changes will have major impacts on real wages, employment, and the income levels of different social groups." However, the government's primary focus should be on establishing a legitimate tax administration to increase the number of taxpayers. This involves removing quotas by liberalizing prices and mobilizing small sector activities within the overall income framework of the economy.
In the transition to a market economy, the rapid growth of industrialization, particularly in heavy industry, shapes the macroeconomic landscape through enhanced industrial investments. For instance, the editor cites the Czechoslovak economy in the 1980s, which produced an extensive range of manufactures, and the per capita income in 1988 was estimated at US$ 3,300 by Eastern European standards. The gradual fiscal shift in Hungary, marked by the introduction of a market economy, not only enriched the political and economic liberalization landscape but also transformed it into a market-based institution. Concurrently, this shift allowed for a diverse array of consumer subsidies through the price system.
The editor's findings reveal that in Poland, socialized enterprises constituted nearly 20% of GDP, over 80% of total investment, and approximately 90% of industrial output in 1988. Romania underwent tax reform in 1992, broadening tax coverage, transitioning to ad valorem tax rates, and significantly reducing turnover taxes. The Soviet Union's net present value was compromised, leading to its dissolution in 1991, followed by the formation of Russia. The editor examines structural reforms in various countries, such as Yugoslavia's confederate finance catering to general social needs and East Germany's unique privatization approach using the "parental guidance" model.
In Asia, China experienced rapid 8% growth driven by increased productivity, Vietnam transitioned from a 40% agriculture-based GDP, Mongolia introduced excise duty in 1991 for urgent revenue needs, Kazakhstan implemented a pension scheme with rates of 7% for men and 16% for women in 1990, and India's 1991 economic reforms (LPG reforms) spurred widespread development. African countries adopted a national approach to tax reform, aiming to restore confidence, provide working capital, and mobilize private investment.
The transformation from a centrally planned to a market-oriented economy presents a significant challenge in any country, requiring fundamental fiscal reforms. Socialized enterprises may need to go bankrupt, necessitating a comprehensive and immediate structural fiscal overhaul. Judged against sound public finance standards, the existing system was deemed microeconomically and administratively inefficient, macroeconomically rigid, and relatively unfair in terms of individual and regional equity.