Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty: An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning

by Robert J. Lempert, Drake Warren, Ryan Henry

Defense planning faces significant uncertainties. This report applies robust decision making (RDM) to the air-delivered munitions mix challenge. RDM is quantitative, decision support methodology designed to inform decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty and complexity. This proof-of-concept demonstration suggests that RDM could help defense planners make plans more robust to a wide range of hard-to-predict futures.

108 pages, Paperback

Published March 15, 2016