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The Existence of God

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Richard Swinburne presents a substantially rewritten and updated edition of his most celebrated book. No other work has made a more powerful case for the probability of the existence of God. Swinburne argues compellingly that the existence of the universe, its law-governed nature and fine-tuning, human consciousness and moral awareness, and evidence of miracles and religious experience, all taken together (and despite the occurrence of pain and suffering), make it likely that there is a God.

384 pages, Paperback

First published January 1, 1979

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About the author

Richard Swinburne

46 books146 followers
Richard G. Swinburne is an Emeritus Professor of Philosophy at the University of Oxford. Over the last 50 years Swinburne has been a very influential proponent of natural theology, that is, philosophical arguments for the existence of God. His philosophical contributions are primarily in philosophy of religion and philosophy of science. He aroused much discussion with his early work in the philosophy of religion, a trilogy of books consisting of The Coherence of Theism, The Existence of God, and Faith and Reason.

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5 stars
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Displaying 1 - 24 of 24 reviews
Profile Image for Amora.
215 reviews190 followers
January 7, 2023
This is, easily, the best book out there to make the case for God. This was my introduction for Bayesian apologetics and I’m very glad to have begun studying it. This book has given me a blueprint for future apologetics. Swinburne has taught me that, to make the case for God, you must make a cumulative case.
Profile Image for Jacob Williams.
630 reviews19 followers
December 17, 2013
This is the best defense of theism I've read. I'm not converted, but Swinburne is certainly more compelling than, say, William Lane Craig.
Profile Image for Owlseyes .
1,805 reviews302 followers
August 1, 2024


"The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God."
Psalm 14:1, in the Bible, King James Version.

And yet, Swinburne has found out a way to prove God's existence: induction.

For years Swinburne belonged to the Church of England, but he grew unsatisfied regarding that Church's stance on some moral issues. He had to choose between Catholicism and Orthodoxy. He chose the former.

Surely, Swinburne is not a 100% Catholic on what concerns some Marian issues and the infabillibiliy of the Pope.

Swinburne could have spared a lot of pages if he had followed Descartes' idea that, like the cogito, God is a self-evident idea.



This is, nonetheless, a remarkable book, as the development of a series of arguments for God existence.

I just don't agree that much on Swinburne's ideas on Buddhism. But, that's another story.
Profile Image for David M.
477 reviews376 followers
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November 8, 2016
Theism - the thesis that there is such a person as God, and this person is the creator of the universe

What kind of person is god? disembodied, infinitely good, all-powerful*, all-knowing**

*all-powerful but subject to the rules of logic ; god cannot do logically absurd things; for instance, cannot make 1 + 1 equal anything other than 2. On Swinburne's account, the whole platonic paraphernalia of abstract objects then stands mysteriously apart from god; god can explain the origins of consciousness, life, and the physical universe, but not (it seems) such things as math and logic

**all-knowing but, Swinburne adds, god cannot know the outcome of our own free choices before we make them; god gives us our free will and the power to use and by doing so thus makes him(/her?)self ignorant at least in this one area

I wonder if Swinburne is squaring the circle a bit here. Moreover, surely it's relevant that all persons of which we have direct experience are embodied, finite beings. It seems quite possible that our whole concept of personhood is inextricably bound up with this condition. In the Bible god seems to be represented as something much more akin to a human person (would it make any sense to speak of a disembodied being as a 'he' - I don't see how Swinburne's god could possibly have a sex or a gender); well, Swinburne might say those are just the expediencies of artistic representation. It's also possible to speak of god in a more rigorous, philosophical, literal sense. However, at the same time, Swinburne remains an orthodox Christian. Thus he is committed to the idea that god created us in 'his' image, but if his philosophical descriptions of god are correct, god may then be a being who's radically unlike us.

In any case this book tries to show, on the basis of all available evidence, that theism is more likely true than not.

Of course this is not precisely what any believer means when they profess their faith. Theism can be defended as an explanatory thesis, but it seems like this will always be a derivative, secondary operation. Moreover, there still remains an enormous chasm between theism as a thesis and the specifics of Christianity (or any other religion). Based on this book, it's not clear if Swinburne thinks that reason can bridge this chasm, or if from there it's a matter of faith alone.

I doubt this book will make many converts, but still I think non-believers (like myself) should read it (or try to - Swinburne's extensive use of symbolic logic does not always make for smooth sailing). Are there good arguments for the existence of god? I'm still on the fence about this. I do think there are a number of really compelling and provocative cases to be made against naturalism, but that is not entirely the same thing. In any case, non-believers are sometimes a bit overweening in their conviction that all the good arguments are on their side. Too often, I'm afraid, this overconfidence is based on philosophical illiteracy.

*
Swinburne respects science. He doesn't go in for young earth creationism or any such nonsense. An infinitely powerful god could have created humans any way *he* wanted. Still, evolution does seem like a rather roundabout way to get to us (especially given how much stress Swinburne puts on the power of simplicity). Swinburne acknowledges this but says still god must have had a reason for doing things this way. The reason he (Swinburne) comes up with is that non-human life has value in itself. God created animals for their inherent beauty, so says Swinburne... I have to say I find this extremely implausible. Are animals really all that beautiful? I'll grant that some wild beasts do have a majestic quality, but what about the sexual lives of insects? Has Richard Swinburne ever heard of traumatic insemination? (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Traumat... )

I don't consider insect-rape a trivial issue. For this and other reasons, I must conclude that the case for god is just filled with too many gaping holes. However, in this it's not so different from any other sweeping metaphysical position - naturalism, for example. I affirm an anxious agnosticism.
Profile Image for JCJBergman.
350 reviews129 followers
September 26, 2024
It has taken a while to read this one. It is by far the most technically proficient philosophical case for the existence of God that I have read. The depth that Swinburne gets into is a goldmine for those serious about the subject. This is its fault in some regard (that it is incredibly challenging to digest at times) but it is also its biggest strength. It is very rewarding for those willing to read it.

Swinburne (like Rasmussen, of whom I recently read) argues very convincingly that theism is (at least) more probable than the negation/proposition of atheism/naturalism. I would say that these two theists have profoundly catalysed a personal reconsideration of my epistemological status on the topic. Am I "fully" convinced by everything Swinburne has argued ... no! The book is too complex to make that leap. However, for the most part I could not deny his case was argued very well. If I were to be specific, I think the weakest chapter was chapter 11 - The Problem of Evil. But this is not because I think Swinburne did a "poor" job necessarily, instead that it is perhaps the most difficult aspect of theism to justify. I think his arguments here were the most convincing I have read on theodicy, but that fact did not make them entirely sound for me, however.

Swinburne has certainly changed my estimation of theism's probability (because, remember, this topic deals with probability not certainty - so too does science!). He is incredibly underrated as a philosopher. He has debated Dawkins at least once on a panel sort of discussion video on YouTube and they totally talked past one another. Swinburne is on another level to Dawkins.
Profile Image for Josphine Aziz.
22 reviews38 followers
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June 30, 2015
الكتاب صعب، لكن كلما تقدمت في القراءة كلما سهل هضم ما به..
هذا الكتاب بالطبع ليس للكل، يحتاج من القارئ أن يكون على دراية بمناهج المنطق وقوانين الطبيعة المختلفة...
الفصول الأولى صعبة بشكل كبير، هو بيحط فيها طريقته في الوصول للنتيجة، بيشرح المنهج الاستنتاجي والاستقراءي وامتة نستخدم دا وامتة نستخدم دا للوصول للنتايج، وضح نوعيات النتايج (جزئية أو كلية)، كذلك الحقائق،
استطاع منطقيا توضيح ضرورة وجود الله من خلال الطبيعة (الكون المادي بمكوناته وتفاعلات تلك المكونات مع بعض)، ناقش تكوين الانسان (كروح ونفس وجسد)، وضرورة وجود الروح (spirit) في حاجة مادية(لجسد) شرح تفصيلا اهمية دا..

عجبني الفصل 10 و 11 ، ناقش فيهم ضرورة وجود العناية الالهية مع حرية الانسان في الاختيار والتمييز بين الخير والشر، ناقش مسألة الشر والألم وضرورة حدوثهم مناقشة ممتازة جدا..

الكتاب في مجمله رائع..
Profile Image for Ben Holloway.
48 reviews9 followers
September 22, 2016
Swinburne's classic attempt to apply Bayes' Theorem to the hypothesis 'God exists' is a masterful example of inductive argument. If the hypothesis succeeds in offering a simpler, more powerful, comprehensive explanation that has the best fit with our background knowledge, then this book provides a powerful argument for the existence of God.

Swinburne argues that if his theory of explanation is workable, then there a good cumulative case can be made for theism by invoking variously reworked theistic arguments that seek to explain various observational truths--the existence of finite objects, the orderliness of the universe, apparent human consciousness, moral realism, intentional actions, miracles, and religious experiences. Swinburne also offered a defeating argument to counter the problem of evil.

The question of whether or not Swinburne is successful or not rests on whether or not one accepts his method of inductive argument. The value of the book is primarily as an example of the application of the combination of inference to the best explanation with Bayes' theory.
Profile Image for JDP.
13 reviews1 follower
October 29, 2007
this is a very technical philosophical defense of the existence of God. for the most part, i agree with swinburne, and i encourage those who have the acumen to digest difficult arguments to read this book. the payoff is huge! in addition to educating the reader on philosophy of religion, this book is a primer on confirmation theory, epistemology, and metaphysics.
Profile Image for Aid.
37 reviews17 followers
July 26, 2021
Great book, I think Swinburne succeeds in making a good P-inductive argument and I learnt a lot.
23 reviews
October 25, 2019
The book dissects the subject very well, didn’t find what I have searched for though! Multiple ambigues conclusions without good algorithm.
The idea of simplicity promoting theism seems very odd. For imagine a person capable of doing all this stuff, how complex should he be? The explanation is more complex than the explained!
This entire review has been hidden because of spoilers.
68 reviews
May 17, 2025
Interesting book. I read this one back to back with The Miracle of Theism by John Leslie Mackie. So I read Swinburne's book (Pro-theism) and Mackie's book (anti-theism).

I am no advanced philosopher yet, at least but I preferred Swinburne's points mainly because I am biased just kidding. I thought that he talked a lot more simpler for a person like me who doesn't understand all philosophical terms and etc. I also think it helps that he has revised his book well in the 2000s so it is a bit more modern and I could easier understand his points and etc.
8 reviews
April 21, 2022
Best book I've read from Swinburn, and one of the best in its genre. Swinburn, makes the case that inductive arguments are better than commonly used deductive arguments for God's existence. His thesis becomes powerful once he fully develops it. The only issue I have, is that he does not go into great depth into the arguments form natural theology and spend more time on methodology. However, if he adequately went into the depths needed for natural theology, it would've had to be a much bigger tome, then what it is.
Profile Image for Samuel Black.
60 reviews
July 14, 2025
The Existence of God by Richard Swinburne is an incredibly complicated and sophisticated exposition of the probabilistic case for theism.

Swinburne spends the first half or so of the book explaining Bayesian probability theory and the structure of explanation, and the second half going over various arguments for and against God. His conclusion (very roughly) is this: evidence like the existence of a complex, ordered, life-permitting, conscious-agent-inhabited, providential, religious
-experience-ridden universe is more probable on theism than on its negation; given Bayes’ theorem, if theism is simpler or just as simple as its alternatives (which Swinburne spends considerable time arguing for), even allowing for the existence of evil, it is more likely than not that God exists, >50% likelihood that theism is true.

If this sounds far-fetched to you, that’s understandable. But in my opinion, Swinburne makes all this work beautifully. His explanation of, well, explanation, coupled with his defense of the coherence and simplicity of theism, sets up the foundation for his being able to analyze arguments for God. In many of them, he compellingly shows that we have, at the very least, more reason to expect that God would bring about the phenomena under consideration than that it would occur if He did not exist. Not that His existence necessitates, for example, the physical universe or moral awareness, but that His existence makes such things more probable than naturalism makes them. And, based on Bayes’ theorem, this is all Swinburne needs (assuming also that theism is simpler or at least as simple as its alternatives).

In my opinion, Swinburne’s treatment of the arguments for God in this way is brilliant. Normally, something like the cosmological argument doesn’t have all that much force: after all, it’s perfectly coherent (if perhaps a bit odd) that the universe would have come from nothing or exist as a brute fact; there is nothing logically contradictory in this. Given that fact, a deductive argument from the universe to the existence of God is bound to fail, since saying “the universe was not created by God” is not incoherent. But by formulating these arguments in a probabilistic and cumulative way, just asking, given all of them (cosmological, teleological, moral, experiential, etc.), if they are even marginally more likely to occur if God exists than if He does not, then they make up what Swinburne calls a “good P-inductive argument,” i.e., they make God’s existence more likely than not. This is brilliant, as it captures the power of what philosophers have thought is evidence for God for centuries while avoiding the unsavory assumptions present in their more typical formulations (like that causality is universal, or that everything that exists has to have an explanation, etc.). By doing it this way, I think Swinburne shows that it is indeed more likely than not that God exists, given a few plausible metaphysical assumptions about what God is likely to do, how simple theism is as an explanation, and how likely these phenomena are to occur under naturalism.


However, this book is not without flaws. Among them, for example, is the fact that Swinburne endorses open theism, the view that God doesn’t know the future actions of free creatures. This is the vast minority view among Christian theologians and is plausibly even a heresy, even apart from the fact that there is not even a shred of reason to endorse it. Also, the chapters on the arguments from providence and evil are noticeably quite weak. The argument from providence seems arbitrary and ad hoc, as does the theodicy presented in the chapter on the problem of evil (though I think the theodicy in the subsection of the latter chapter on the problem of divine hiddenness is quite good). Additionally, Swinburne rejects God’s logically necessary existence on grounds that a necessary cause couldn’t explain any contingent fact. I think this is a flimsy argument, as God’s will could be contingent without his existence being so, thus leading to contingent phenomena like the ones described in the book. And also, the doctrine of God’s necessity is, I think, extremely important, and constitutes a premise in my favorite argument for the existence of God.

Overall, then, this book is a groundbreaking, enormously sophisticated, and persuasive probabilistic case for theism, but it isn’t without its flaws.
Profile Image for Jake B-Y.
125 reviews3 followers
September 10, 2022
The first half is worth reading, but the relatively restrictive epistemology and the lack of engagement with theological and ethical frameworks as it relates to the later chapters (e.g. the problem of evil) means that I’m ambivalent about this text overall. It may be a great and helpful book for people who need a rigorous and rational examination of arguments for the existence of God, but that feels increasingly out of touch with a postmodern age.
Profile Image for David Diaz.
Author 4 books
October 29, 2021
Important topic but tedious reading. I would recommend instead his shorter, more accessible book, “Is There a God?”
Profile Image for Stephen.
1,223 reviews18 followers
April 10, 2020
A complex book looking at the issue of proofs of God's existence very thoroughly. The author rightly rejects a priori deductive proofs of God's existence and non existence as necessarily flawed, and thus the ontological proofs, the 5 ways etc. are all out as pure deductive proofs. But the opening chapters look at the issue of inductive argument, probabilities and the evident truth that the simplest explanation is usually the best in scientific explanation as well as in personal explanation (a concept which itself gets a lot of discussion).

Having laid some solid groundwork, the arguments for God's existence are examined in depth. Swinburne makes some excellent points and answers many criticisms very well. However his argument hinges on the ability to prove that the hypothesis of God is the most probably hypothess, and he does this by settling a value on the probability of God being about 1/2 before bringing in miracles and his principle of credulity. Sceptics will perhaps point out that a desire to achieve a value of 1/2 at this point may colour the values given for probabilities from other arguments. Perhaps the problem of evil, that Swinburne notes "reduces the probability" actually reduces it much more than the author supposes. Thus to set such a probability is somewhat open to challenge.

Having established that probablility, the principle of credulity is brought in to suggest we believe claims to miracles and such like unless there is reason to doubt. A sceptic will reply that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence and thus the strong extra jolt given to the probabilities by the influence of miracles on the hypothesis can certainly be quibbled with. Moreover, the argument about the strongest claims to miracles that the author introduces seems to miss the point that weaker and conflicting claims to miraculous support for conflicting notions is itself an argument against the principle of credulity

Ultimately this book is not going to convince an atheist of God's existence I suspect. However, it does have some wonderful insights in it. The arguments about the hidden-ness of God are wonderfully thought through. The realisation that there must be a possibility of agnosticism if we are ever to make choices free of the knowledge of our being watched, as it were, over our shoulders was a new one on me. Many other arguments favoured by atheists are also dealt with thoughtfully and thoroughly.

This review picks a couple of points and simplifies some very thorough arguments, and I would strongly recommend reading the book to understand the arguments more deeply. It would be quite wrong to dismiss this book based on my comments. I don't think it will convince people who are predisposed to reject the thesis, but whatever your opinion of God's existence or non existence, this is a deep and thoughtful analysis that deserves to be carefully considered.

A first class book on the philosophy of religion - but like Keith Ward's book, "Why there almost certainly is a God", I think this ultimately makes the case that belief in God is a thoroughly rational belief, without making an overwhelmingly convincing case that would sway anyone if (we say with a deep say) they just had the wherewithal to understand it!
Profile Image for Rick.
86 reviews3 followers
November 13, 2014
This book is a challenge for a non-philosopher, but still worth reading. He does a remarkably thorough job of presenting the chief arguments for the existence of God. The beginning chapters lay out his approach, and are probably the most difficult ones in the book. Once he gets into the various arguments the reading gets a bit less daunting, but not easy by any means. It helps going in to be familiar with Bayes Theorem and its use in philosophy, as he uses it extensively in most chapters. He does not hold that there is a deductive argument for God's existence, but that, given the totality of his arguments, there is a very strong inductive argument (i. e. the probability of the existence of God is very strong). When dealing with the scientific arguments, he argues from the theistic evolutionist framework. Though I don't recall that he says so explicitly, he appears to accept the Darwinian account of evolution as it is currently understood (but, obviously, without the naturalism usually attached to it). There were a few points at which I felt his arguments were flawed or weak, such as when dealing with the issue of evolution. Nevertheless, overall this is a tremendous work, and I'm confident I'll be referring back to it in the future.
Profile Image for Chaouki.
77 reviews1 follower
November 13, 2019
I feel compelled to review this book after months of alternating feelings of clarity and confusion. The book is a must read, not least because it delivers a summary of a large gamut of philosophical-theological and non theological writings. The book is a reference and it therefore gives you an idea about how far arguments for the existence of god have reached. I do not garantee that you will like or enjoy the reading, but i can garantee that you will come out of this book with a sense of clarity about the position of god in a twenty first century spectrum of probability .
8 reviews4 followers
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August 10, 2011
The most comprehensive account I've come across so far. Very good read, convincing account with strong argument, and goes into a lot of detail. Quite a tough read to start with, but it's OK once you get going, and you appreciate the tedious start in the end, to see how the arguments do relate to the probability of God's existence. Should probably take a look at his "Resurrection of God Incarnate" for further evidence, as he doesn't elaborate on Jesus' resurrection in this book. I liked it.
3 reviews5 followers
April 16, 2011
I removed one star due dense, laborious paragraphs, also Professor Swinburne has problems getting to the point of an issue. But, the existence of god is a rich and rewarding book for those interested in philosophy of religion.
Profile Image for Jeffrey.
283 reviews19 followers
August 22, 2016
Advanced: the second in a trilogy. Swinburne discusses the existence of God via natural theology.
Profile Image for Isa.
33 reviews1 follower
May 24, 2025
So far, Reason has left the station.
Profile Image for John.
22 reviews
March 25, 2017
Neat book. This guy is an analytical philosophy (I think) and has an interesting equation on inductive logic and probability. Looking forward to studying this more.
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