China's Futures

by James Ogilvy, Peter Schwartz, Joe Flower

As it emerges from centuries of social, military, and political strife, China--which represents one fifth of the world's population and its third largest economy--is poised to play a major role in global business. But what will that role be? In this book, two experts, who have created business scenarios for some of the world's largest organizations--including Royal Dutch/Shell, AT&T, IBM, and Motorola--present three very informed versions of how China's future may unfold in the coming years and what it means to the rest of the world. These scenarios provide a foundation on which today's companies can build business strategies for years to come.
Click here to read the preface from this book.

192 pages, Hardcover

First published January 1, 2000

Reviews

[Sebastian · Rating 3 out of 5]

Opportune time to read in 2021 -- their scenarios are mapping out to 2022 (written in 2000). Authors did not imagine a figure like Xi Jinping would consolidate power like he did in their plausible scenarios. What happens when Xi dies?

[Matt · Rating 4 out of 5]

"Nearly ten years old, the book holds forth three different scenarios that a "future China" might look like. China has come a long way and these three scenarios are still possibilities although one of them (collapse followed by rise of a military dictator) doesn't seem as likely as it once did. Just the sort of fun book about China that is banned in China."