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Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 72 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
During all of this insanity, we’d have extremely
scarce time to make the right decisions. The challenges will be
immense. It will take everything we’ve got to make it through
in one piece.
Sep 01, 2025 10:50AM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 72 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
More generally, everything will just start happening incredibly
fast. And the world will start going insane. Suppose we had
gone through the geopolitical fever-pitches and man-made
perils of the 20th century in mere years; that is the sort of situation we should expect post-superintelligence. By the end
of it, superintelligent AI systems will be running our military
and economy.
Sep 01, 2025 10:50AM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 72 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
There is a real possibility that we will lose control, as
we are forced to hand off trust to AI systems during this rapid
transition
Sep 01, 2025 10:50AM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 69 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
We would have
gone from flying being thought a mirage, to airplanes, to a
man on the moon and ICBMs in a matter of years. This is
what I expect the 2030s to look like across science and technology.
Sep 01, 2025 10:40AM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 67 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
As an example of how wild this could be, look at some Youtube
videos of video game speedruns, such as this one of beating
Minecraft in 20 seconds.

shoutout minecraft
Sep 01, 2025 10:35AM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 63 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
This quickly does the remaining necessary “unhobbling” takes us the remainder of the way to
100% automation

grammar mistake
Sep 01, 2025 10:15AM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 59 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
are yolo runs in training models a risk to humanity?
Aug 31, 2025 07:54PM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 52 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
Real automated AI researchers be very smart—and in addition
to their raw quantitative advantage, automated AI researchers
will have other enormous advantages over human researchers:

typo
Aug 31, 2025 07:29PM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 45 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
certainly your modal AGI year should sometime later this
decade or so.

typo
Aug 31, 2025 07:07PM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 41 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
It seems like many are in the game of downward-defining AGI
these days, as just as really good chatbot or whatever.

as twice
Aug 31, 2025 07:01PM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 41 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
We are on course for AGI by 2027. These AI systems will basically be able to automate basically all cognitive jobs (think: all
jobs that could be done remotely).

basically twice in same sentence
Aug 31, 2025 06:59PM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is on page 41 of 165 of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
(One neat way to think about this is that the current trend of AI
progress is proceeding at roughly 3x the pace of child development. Your 3x-speed-child just graduated high school; it’ll be
taking your job before you know it!)
Aug 31, 2025 06:58PM Add a comment
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is 90% done with In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
My thoughts are not thoughts—they are dreams.
Aug 30, 2025 07:59PM Add a comment
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is 80% done with In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
“What would color be like? He’d put a rosy bulb in the porch light.”

Excerpt From
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
William H. Gass
This material may be protected by copyright.
Aug 24, 2025 08:15PM Add a comment
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is 76% done with In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
“Fender remembered the census had missed him. He’d had to call attention to himself. How bitter he’d been about that.” XD
Aug 24, 2025 07:50PM Add a comment
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is 76% done with In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
“Guess, how many peas? I’m not green like you, Glick, not countably discrete, not caught between tines, not raised, not even bitten through or mashed against the teeth.”

Excerpt From
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
William H. Gass
This material may be protected by copyright.
Aug 24, 2025 07:50PM Add a comment
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is 73% done with In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
great portrayal of the real estate occupation
Aug 23, 2025 08:53PM Add a comment
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is 65% done with In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
“Recently, while I’ve been loitering at the end of the alley, taking my last look around, I’ve felt I’ve mixed up all my starts and endings, that the future is over and the past has just begun.”

Excerpt From
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
William H. Gass
This material may be protected by copyright.
Aug 23, 2025 07:16PM Add a comment
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country

Michael Chenchard
Michael Chenchard is 60% done with In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
“There is no pleasure. There is only the biological propriety of the penis.”

Excerpt From
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country
William H. Gass
This material may be protected by copyright.
Aug 23, 2025 06:51PM Add a comment
In the Heart of the Heart of the Country

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