Klaus Leopold's Reviews > Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

The content has little to do with the title. If the book was called" Introduction to probabilistic thinking", it would be more appropriate and I would not have bought it.

It really got off to a good start. A bad result does not have to be the result of a bad decision. The world is not like playing chess, where there is practically no randomness involved. At that time I thought to myself, the writer would introduce me to the subject and then go deeper. Unfortunately, there is not much more depth. Yes, if A has a possible value of 500, but the probability of occurrence is only 10%, it makes more sense to choose B, although the value is only 100, but the probability of occurrence is 90%.

The book is written in an easy way and if you've never read anything on the subject, it's probably a good introduction. But those who have already read Savage, Silver or Kahneman will be disappointed. 2-3 stars seems appropriate.