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Nate Silver

“Poker is so volatile that it’s possible for a theoretically winning player to have a losing streak that persists for months, or even for a full year. The flip side of this is that it’s possible for a losing player to go on a long winning streak before he realizes that he isn’t much good.”

Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't by Nate Silver
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