Second, it assumes that we will see a second wave of deaths: that the coronavirus, like the flu, will inevitably return this fall and winter. That view is the consensus among epidemiologists and scientists, and I won’t challenge it (even though many epidemiologists have been badly wrong about COVID for the last three months). One counter-argument comes from Oxford University’s Center for Evidence Based Medicine, which argued that “making absolute statements of certainty about ‘second waves’ is unwise, given the current substantial uncertainties and novelty of the evidence.”
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