Gary Thaller

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The riddle of induction is another version of the narrative fallacy—you face an infinity of “stories” that explain what you have seen.
Gary Thaller
The riddle of induction involves choosing the right graph that indicates the future. GRUE FALLACY. The emerald will be green until it's not. That's my version of "A trend, once established, will remain a trend until it is broken."
Incerto 4-Book Bundle: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile
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