In poker, you have to be comfortable turning your subjective feelings into probabilities and acting on them. And in other enterprises involving risk, you have to be willing to make at least a good first-pass estimate. “It’s not like you get a spreadsheet out and actually try to mathematically determine that, because I think there’s a hubris of precision,” said Vescovo of his process for estimating the dangers when flying fighter jets or climbing mountains. “But there certainly are tendencies of this is really dangerous or that is not.”
