David Phillips

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Before each launch, organizations establish confidence in PA by “predicting the past” (aka backtesting). The predictive model must prove itself on historical data before its deployment. Conducting a kind of simulated prediction, the model evaluates across data from last week, last month, or last year. Feeding on input that could only have been known at a given time, the model spits out its prediction, which then matches against what we now already know took place thereafter.
Predictive Analytics: The Power to Predict Who Will Click, Buy, Lie, or Die
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