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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call real
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Hardcover, 288 pages
Published
February 6th 2018
by Portfolio Penguin
(first published 2018)
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Start your review of Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Duke on pelannut vuosia työkseen pokeria ja tässä kirjassa tuo vedonlyöjän ajatusmaailmaa esille, viitaten runsaasti myös muuhun aineistoon (vahvimpana varmaan Kahnemanin Thinking jne). Olen harrastuksena aikanaan pelannut ja netissä hävinnyt joitain satasia pokerissa. Duke on sieltä tuttu nimi ja sai kiinnostumaan.
Kirja on aika lyhyt ja napakka ja jos käyttäytyminen ja päätöksenteko asiassa kuin asiassa kiinnostaa, suosittelen lämpimästi vaikka vedonlyönti ei kiinnostaisikaan. Vedonlyöjän ajatt ...more
Kirja on aika lyhyt ja napakka ja jos käyttäytyminen ja päätöksenteko asiassa kuin asiassa kiinnostaa, suosittelen lämpimästi vaikka vedonlyönti ei kiinnostaisikaan. Vedonlyöjän ajatt ...more
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Annie Duke (born Anne LaBarr Lederer) is a professional poker player and author who won a bracelet in the 2004 World Series of Poker $2,000 Omaha Hi-Low Split-8 or Better Event and was the winner of the 2004 World Series of Poker Tournament of Champions, where she earned the Winner-Take-All prize of $2,000,000.
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“What makes a decision great is not that it has a great outcome. A great decision is the result of a good process, and that process must include an attempt to accurately represent our own state of knowledge. That state of knowledge, in turn, is some variation of “I’m not sure.”
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“In most of our decisions, we are not betting against another person. Rather, we are betting against all the future versions of ourselves that we are not choosing.”
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