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320 pages, Hardcover
Published May 11, 2021
MILLIONS:The following excerpt comments on the originating sources of these innovations.
AIDS cocktail
Anesthesia
Angioplasty
Antimalarial drugs CPR
Insulin
Kidney dialysis
Oral rehydration therapy
Pacemakers
Radiology
Refrigeration
Seat belts
HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS:
Antibiotics
Bifurcated needles
Blood transfusions
Chlorination
Pasteurization
BILLIONS
Artificial fertilizer
Toilets/Sewers
Vaccines
... the most fundamental and inarguable form of progress we have experienced over the past few centuries has not come from big corporations or start-ups. It has come, instead, from activists struggling for reform; from university-based scientists sharing their findings open-source style; and from nonprofit agencies spreading new scientific breakthroughs in low-income countries around the world.The following excerpt makes an observation I've thought of many times. We are lucky that the most recent pandemic occurred after development of techniques of virus identification and the science of gene sequencing.
When the SARS-CoV-2 virus first emerged in China in the final weeks of 2019, the organism was identified within a matter of weeks. (By contrast, just four decades ago, at the beginning of the AIDS pandemic, it took three years to identify HIV.) And within days of the coronavirus discovery, the genome of the virus had been sequenced, and that genetic profile had been shared with research labs around the world.
[Imported automatically from my blog. Some formatting there may not have translated here.]
I listened to Nick Gillespie interview the author, Steven Johnson, about this book on his Reason Podcast. I must have been impressed enough to put it on my get-at-library list. I have been generally both favorable and unfavorable to Johnson's work in the past. This one gets an "OK for history, not great on policy" grade.
It's the story of how we (as in: First World Humanity) went from (in the UK) about 35 years of life expectancy at birth back at the turn of the 18th century, to nearly 80 years now. It's a great story, but Johnson's answer turns out to be: a lot of things (listed, for our convenience, on pp xxviii-xxix), from "AIDS cocktail" to (generally) "Vaccines". There's a PBS Documentary, if you prefer getting history that way.
The book's chapters each concentrate (roughly) on a single threat to human life and how that threat was (at least partially) solved: smallpox, cholera, raw/adulterated milk, bogus elixirs and medicines, bacterial infection, unsafe cars, famine. Johnson is a good, punchy writer and his relating of history is grabbing.
But he's way too moon-eyed about government regulation. Heroic efforts by the FDA, CDC, WHO, etc. are fawningly described. The white-knight bureaucrats ride over the hill to save us! But he wrote the book as Covid was in full swing; he could have (but did not) go into the bungling, foot-dragging, and "for your own good" nanny statism that probably cost lives in the US and abroad. That would complicate his story, sure. But it feels like this omission was probably intentional for that reason.
When reviewing his list of "life-saving innovations" he bemoans "how few of them originated in the private sector." Um, fine. But all of them were developed in rich countries with (I'm being redundant here) a thriving private sector. You don't get innovation from socialist countries, and you don't get it from poor countries (again, quite a bit of overlap there.) Johnson could have, but didn't, explore that.
And then, in his concluding chapter, Johnson speculates on radical life extension, using clever gene engineering to turn off the cell-level aging process in humans. Oh, oh, says Johnson: "Is it right to allow some people some people to live forever, while condemning others to death and the slow decline of aging, based solely on how much money they have in the bank?" (Emphasis added.)
"Allow?"
Geez, Steve. Read Heinlein's Methuselah's Children and notice how much you sound like the bad guys here.
I can't imagine a world where you can't have life-extending medical intervention unless everyone else is provided with it at the same time. That logic would prevent every one of the innovations Johnson describes. I'm not sure he's thought that through, and his cheap demagogic point about "money in the bank" is a sure sign that he hasn't.