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The Coming Collapse Of China

3.11  ·  Rating details ·  236 ratings  ·  35 reviews
Fully revised and updated edition covering China's new membership of the WTO and with a new introduction. 'Damning data and persuasive arguments that should set some Communist knees a-knocking.' Kirkus Reviews'A compelling account of the rot in China's institutions and the forces at work to end the Communist Party's monopoly on power.' James A. Dorn, Cato Institute, Washin ...more
Paperback, 384 pages
Published February 6th 2003 by Arrow (first published September 15th 2001)
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Mark Oulton
Jun 15, 2020 rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
It's out of date drivel although Gordon Chang is still pedaling his theories whenever he can get a TV interview. Sometimes as I read it, I wondered whether Chang had spent much time in China. What he doesn't seem to understand is the Chinese people rather like their government and sufficiently so that independent polls by western companies are encouraged. Sure, there is no democracy, but there has been an explicit understanding between government and people that they will become better off, and ...more
Nick Woodall
Lots of facts. Lots of opinion. I happen to agree with the author. Anyone who as been to China, will recognize many of the problems addressed in this book.
China seizes US Navy underwater drone in international waters of South China Sea

“This is an act of war against the United States”

[A propos trade war and China's stealing] "We [USA] are bleeding"
Gordon Chang


Nov 16, 2012 rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
I did not finish this book. It got to technical for me. ALsoit predicted the collapse of China in 10 years and was written in 2001 so guess it was wrong.
Luís Garcia
ZERO STARS option should be available for this piece of sickening primitive propaganda.

Pure lies, dumb clichés, inversion of reality...
Accusations not backed by hard evidence, apology of a US-sponsored criminal organization named Falung Gong...

Dishonest misinterpretation of Mao's words, Deng's words and others' words...
Sinophobic caricatures, petty paternalism, absurd predictions...

In resume a horrible simplistic piece of Western sinophobic propaganda based on intellectual dishonesty and dumbnes
Andy Rapt
Jun 28, 2014 rated it it was ok
Ten years have passed since I first read this book and none of it has come true. I bought it in a foreign bookstore in Hong Kong expecting to read something insightful about the economic and political condition in China but sadly that was not the case. I remember there's lots of Falun Gong propaganda and a chapter about prostitutes.
The author's arguments about the collapse of China didn't sound convincing back then but he still holds on strongly to his opinions (you can check his videos on youtu
Valerie Yoh
Jul 07, 2008 rated it it was ok  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: abandoned
I'm only at about page 100 of this book. There's some good information in here, but it's bit too dry for me. It's also highly biased. I was hoping for more objective writing, but it's just dripping with the author's feelings of China's 'impending doom'.

I may get back to this book later just to finish it, but not because I'm that interested. It's time for me to move on to my next book club selection and other books that I'll enjoy more...

Jan 16, 2008 rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
I hated this book. Unless you like arguments like "a Muslim in Xinjiang doesn't like all the pork in Chinese food, therefore China is bound to collapse," you're not gonna get anything out of this book. ...more
Toby Knoblauch
Jul 26, 2012 rated it did not like it
The back cover asserts that "the end of the modern Chinese state is near. The People's Republic has five years, perhaps ten, before it falls."

That was in 2002.

It is now more than fifteen years later, and the PRC under Xi Jinping looks as economically robust and as politically stable as it has since the early '80s - Gordon G. Chang's prophecy has singularly failed to happen.

Some of the elements of Chang's analysis still ring true in 2018, but most others seem to be shrill and superficial - more
Kela Shang
Jul 25, 2019 rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
Anybody who would like to know about the real China as it is should avoid this book. This book reads almost like a propaganda piece, with its conclusion clearly wrong.
Apr 11, 2020 rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: junk
Yet another shrewd bureaucrat: something is going to collapse. If it does, he'll be in the history book as a visionary. If it doesn't he'll be long dead and the money would have been long wasted. So he has nothing to lose with his fairy tale, but a lot to win. ...more
Jan 23, 2021 rated it liked it  ·  review of another edition
The book was written in 2001 so in the 20 years that have passed since the author wrote it, China's movement towards collapse has not yet occurred. Will it occur ? Well you have a one party country with 1.3 billion people. Corruption is a thread that runs painfully through the landscape. The book leaves you with a blurry head trying to compare your own world with what goes on over there. I suppose when you live under autocratic rule where your freedoms are defined by the government you are trapp ...more
Ken Bour
Aug 21, 2020 rated it liked it  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: amazon-paid
I bought this book because of its intriguing title and my presumption of its relevance to a Great Courses series I recently completed covering Ancient Eastern Civilization. Unfortunately, as reported by others, the content is at least a decade old and it is exceedingly dry. With my interest level being modestly piqued, I only read a chapter or two, unhurriedly, in between other books. As a consequence, it took me nearly four months to finish it.

Although clearly well researched and exhaustively
David T
May 24, 2020 rated it it was ok  ·  review of another edition
Coming collapse of China somewhat delayed

Chang is actually very familiar with the deep workings of the Chinese Party. He is able to explain the deep rooted corruption of a failed political system, i.e. Communism quite well so the average person can see why the United States should not even entertain the thought of adopting socialism or its twin brother communism. The book starts fast enough but then begins to drag but becomes interesting again by chapter 12. If you know a lot about the world fin
Jun 27, 2019 rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
time tells the truth
This book has the problem of being around long enough for events to dispute the predictions.
There are some elements here which a worth considering. Chang argued that the government would fail in China as a result of its accession to the World Trade Organization. (2001)

His argument parallels analysis of other arguments against authoritarian systems - for example he suggests that the State Owned Enterprises and State Owned Banks are ultimately Ponzi schemes - they live off the cadres not market in
Michael Murphy
Sep 17, 2021 rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
I have listened to many things Mr. Chang has said, regarding China, while a guest on Fox News. He is quite the interesting man with a wealth of information about China. Many see China as a up and coming power, or super power. However, as a communistic nation, all businesses are essentially owned by the Chinese government. And looking at their financial loaning policies, they have a tendency to have the government run banks to loan to SOEs (or State Owned Enterprises.) This becomes problematic, i ...more
Mar 13, 2020 rated it liked it  ·  review of another edition
Somewhat dated but good foundation on big picture Chinese economy and government
skip thurnauer
"The Coming Collapse of China" was referenced in a newspaper article not too long ago and piqued my interest. China's robust growth has slowed, but is this a sign of collapse? It wasn't until I had dug a little bit into the forward that I discovered this isn't a current assessment, but a forecast of downfall copyright 2001. "The end of the modern Chinese state is near" author Chang asserts. "The People's Republic has five years, perhaps ten, before it falls." Today, we are well beyond that 5-10 ...more
Paul Hartzog
The real lesson in this book is an insight into why there hasn't been a revolution the USA. It's the same logic to why there wasn't one in China either.

I read this knowing it was dated, mostly just fishing for innovative insights. It's not bad. The main problem is that it is full of statements saying that the Chinese people are fed up with the Chinese government and will therefore topple the system. They may be fed up, but national governments keep becoming more and more totalitarian and the peo
Ben Rogers
Outstanding read by a political movement rallier from Twitter, Gordon Chang.
I found this book, as it was recommended by Gordon himself on his Twitter cover banner.

I found this a very good book on China's future.

Although this book is a pretty old book, I found it still mostly accurate.


Mar 28, 2009 rated it liked it  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: for-fun
"Another nearly ten-year old book that attempted to prognosticate China's future at the turn of the new millenium. Looking at China today in 2009 it seems this author might be a bit off. But what kind of cracks in the façade lurk beneath the surface?" ...more
Charles Blumberg
280 pages that can be summed up as centralized gov't planning is not efficient, corrupt, and stifles innovation. Presently, the gov't can control the people but eventually too many people will challenge it and there will be too many for the gov't to prevent it. ...more
Andy Raptis
May 11, 2015 rated it it was ok
Mr. Gordon, we're still waiting for the coming collapse of China... ...more
Stephen Masri
Jun 28, 2019 rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
Good insights on PRC China, govt, corruption
very interesting book on the state of things in China. For most of us China is an enigma. Is it the roaring dragon coming after our economy and our jobs? Is it the military competitor of the next 10 years and will it end in war or another cold war?

Chang points out the huge cracks in China and its culture. Shows that major corruption threatens to destroy China from within.

Talks of coming conflict with Taiwan. Which could be catastrophic for many people.

The funny thing is that this book is now ov
Jon Walgren
Jun 04, 2021 rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
Very informative. Fills in lots of details between the days of Mao and 2001. I look forward to reading more non-fiction about China to see how Gordon Chang's assessments fall out. I enjoyed the book and learned from it. ...more
Wesley Dietz
Aug 04, 2021 rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
All good points, for 20 years ago. This book was just released yet the subject matter is back in 2001. However, fast forward 20 years to today, it seems that China has gone all in on their oppressive and autocratic policies, so sooner or later......
Chris Brown
Interesting argument buy fundamentally flawed
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