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Bayes Theorem: A Visual Introduction For Beginners
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From Google search results to Netflix recommendations and investment strategies, Bayes Theorem (also often called Bayes Rule or Bayes Formula) is used across countless industries to help calculate and assess probability.
Bayesian statistics is taught in most first-year statistics classes across the nation, but there is one major problem that many students (and others who a ...more
Bayesian statistics is taught in most first-year statistics classes across the nation, but there is one major problem that many students (and others who a ...more
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Kindle Edition, 176 pages
Published
October 2nd 2016
by Blue Windmill
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Think you want some help understanding better or getting into the Bayes Theorem. Two cases: you have a friend who can help over a coffee on some back of the envelope stuff or you buy this book.
This books ticks many boxes: Does one thing and does it well, explains with enough detail, small, cute, articulate.
Then why the 2 stars: One for its price it could have a little bit of more information, or examples. Two the dead tree / paper version is just rushed and should not be ...more
This books ticks many boxes: Does one thing and does it well, explains with enough detail, small, cute, articulate.
Then why the 2 stars: One for its price it could have a little bit of more information, or examples. Two the dead tree / paper version is just rushed and should not be ...more
I could actually use Bayes’ Theorem to estimate for you in this review the odds of you enjoying the book, but I fear it’ll look quite arbitrary without the clear and helpful visual guides that the book provides, walking the reader through many examples in a step-by-step fashion, such that we get to not only know how to use the theorem in a functional fashion (say, plugging and playing with the numbers, as one might if learning it for a mathematics exam, practically learning the method by rote),
...more
Bayes Theorem has a serious power to describe reality through mathematical probability. I have written If you are interested in statistics and the power of Bayes Theorem, please do yourself a favor and read this book.
Here's an example:
Bayes Theorem is simple, but it's implications are tremendous. There are many statistical probabilities that at face value seem concerning, but when the information is properly plug-in, you see a different result.
Here's an example:
1. We know that the peop ...more
Here's an example:
Bayes Theorem is simple, but it's implications are tremendous. There are many statistical probabilities that at face value seem concerning, but when the information is properly plug-in, you see a different result.
Here's an example:
1. We know that the peop ...more
Bayes' Theorem Examples: A Visual Introduction for Beginners by Dan Morris makes this seemingly complex theorem more understandable. From the beginning of the book, the language of the book is such that the novice can begin to understand and comprehend the subject matter. Morris lays it out thus : 4 Ways that the Theorem is explained, 'Bayes' Theorem helps us update a belief based on new evidence by creating a new belief, it helps us revise a probability when presented with new evidence, it help
...more
"English below"
با توجه به تب این روزهای انتخابات، ذکر این نکته خالی از لطف نیست که پیش بینی های علمی رایج عمدتا بر اساس قضیه بیز انجام می گیرند. آشنایی اولیه با این قضیه می تواند برای همگان مفید باشد و باعث شود دیدگاههای واقع بینانه تری بر اساس شواهد و اطلاعات داشته باشیم
As an introductory book, it is a short and useful text. Examples and graphics are fine, although sometimes repetitive. However, I was expecting to see more insights on how to understand our problem is app ...more
با توجه به تب این روزهای انتخابات، ذکر این نکته خالی از لطف نیست که پیش بینی های علمی رایج عمدتا بر اساس قضیه بیز انجام می گیرند. آشنایی اولیه با این قضیه می تواند برای همگان مفید باشد و باعث شود دیدگاههای واقع بینانه تری بر اساس شواهد و اطلاعات داشته باشیم
As an introductory book, it is a short and useful text. Examples and graphics are fine, although sometimes repetitive. However, I was expecting to see more insights on how to understand our problem is app ...more
I needed to be taught math like this in school!
Excellent first contact with a long-debated but now indispensible nugget of mathematical ingeniousness. As a probability tool, Bayes' has been used everywhere from breaking the Enigma code machines to locating derelict sailors at sea to accurately predicting elections. Dan Morris gives very clear explanations and guides the reader through easy-to-understand examples, reviewed over and over under different lights. What little math I've learned has b ...more
Excellent first contact with a long-debated but now indispensible nugget of mathematical ingeniousness. As a probability tool, Bayes' has been used everywhere from breaking the Enigma code machines to locating derelict sailors at sea to accurately predicting elections. Dan Morris gives very clear explanations and guides the reader through easy-to-understand examples, reviewed over and over under different lights. What little math I've learned has b ...more
Easy and useful
A perfect book to not only learn about but to work with the theory. The simple formula is the basis of understanding things from how to asses medical tests to how to detect spam. Even if your knowledge of probability is minimal this book will teach you quite a lot about Bayesian thinking. You will also find out why it should really be called Laplace’s Theorem, but even so Laplace already has more than enough named in his honor, so I’m quite happy with the honor going to the Bay ...more
A perfect book to not only learn about but to work with the theory. The simple formula is the basis of understanding things from how to asses medical tests to how to detect spam. Even if your knowledge of probability is minimal this book will teach you quite a lot about Bayesian thinking. You will also find out why it should really be called Laplace’s Theorem, but even so Laplace already has more than enough named in his honor, so I’m quite happy with the honor going to the Bay ...more
A very quick but useful introduction
This is a thorough and enjoyable yet basic introduction to Bayes’ Theorem. Just Bayes’ Theorem. If you are looking for a 1 to 5 hour exploration of a single equation with references for further study, this is for you. If you are looking for anything more than that, this isn’t for you. Buy the electronic version for easy access to the many hyperlinks in the text.
This is a thorough and enjoyable yet basic introduction to Bayes’ Theorem. Just Bayes’ Theorem. If you are looking for a 1 to 5 hour exploration of a single equation with references for further study, this is for you. If you are looking for anything more than that, this isn’t for you. Buy the electronic version for easy access to the many hyperlinks in the text.
This book provides a nice introduction to understanding and using Bayes’ Theorem to assess probabilities and make decisions. It provides easy to understand guidance that makes the process accessible to those who are not logicians or mathematicians.
Excellent book for an introduction to Bayes theorem. The examples are easy to understands and well explained and has the bibliography documented with some great references.
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