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A Time Traveller's Guide to Our Next Ten Years
Picture South Africa ten years from Are the angry poor rising up and seizing land and businesses? Or has economic reform created jobs and growth? Is an increasingly desperate government clamping down on freedoms? Or do the middle classes still braai in suburban bliss?
South Africa is at a tipping point, and small shifts in political and economic conditions can bring about dramatic changes. Unemployment, slow growth, threats to freedom of speech, and poor education can send the country in any direction.
Leading scenario planner Frans Cronje identifies the key trends that will shape our future. Will South Africa follow the Narrow Road, the Wide Road, the Rocky Road or the Toll Road? His four scenarios for the country are sobering, sometimes shocking, but also hopeful.
South Africa is at a tipping point, and small shifts in political and economic conditions can bring about dramatic changes. Unemployment, slow growth, threats to freedom of speech, and poor education can send the country in any direction.
Leading scenario planner Frans Cronje identifies the key trends that will shape our future. Will South Africa follow the Narrow Road, the Wide Road, the Rocky Road or the Toll Road? His four scenarios for the country are sobering, sometimes shocking, but also hopeful.
228 pages, Kindle Edition
First published April 1, 2014
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Displaying 1 of 1 review
April 26, 2016
Scenario planning for SA to 2014
A great overview of scenario planning and how the process can be applied to a system as complex as a country and its sociopolitical health. The question is relevant to every South African and the handling is objective. Perhaps overplayed the "scenario planning is better than forecasting" line a touch.
A great overview of scenario planning and how the process can be applied to a system as complex as a country and its sociopolitical health. The question is relevant to every South African and the handling is objective. Perhaps overplayed the "scenario planning is better than forecasting" line a touch.
Displaying 1 of 1 review