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The Son Also Rises - Surnames and the History of Social Mobility (Princeton Economic History of the Western World)
How much of our fate is tied to the status of our parents and grandparents? How much does it influence our children? More than we wish to believe. While it has been argued that rigid class structures have eroded in favor of greater social equality, The Son Also Rises proves that movement on the social ladder has changed little over eight centuries. Using a novel technique-
...more
Hardcover, 384 pages
Published
February 18th 2014
by Princeton University Press
(first published January 1st 2004)
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[major edit: I spent a couple days working through the math, and checking it with my own simulations, and have convinced myself that my earlier mathematical reservations were completely wrong. I've changed the review to reflect that]
The "Son Also Rises" was a fascinating read that seems likely to provoke controversy, but also to advance evidence-based discussions of equality and social mobility. Clark makes two major (somewhat separable) arguments in "Rises". First, that social mobility is much ...more
The "Son Also Rises" was a fascinating read that seems likely to provoke controversy, but also to advance evidence-based discussions of equality and social mobility. Clark makes two major (somewhat separable) arguments in "Rises". First, that social mobility is much ...more
Jul 05, 2014
Peter Mcloughlin
rated it
liked it
Shelves:
1960-to-1989,
politics,
1890-1959,
mathematics,
psychology,
general-science,
general-history,
economics,
biology,
american-history,
european-history,
asian-history,
latin-american-history,
intellectual-history,
0500-to-1500-ce,
world-history,
nonfiction,
1701-to-1800,
1801-to-1900,
1990-to-present,
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Left-liberals will agree with the prescription but be disgusted by the diagnosis. The diagnosis is much the same kind of argument you would find in the bell curve. Social stratification is largely biological and even in the best of meritocracies social mobility will be limited as more (socially) talented will be a part of the elite and the underclass will stay the underclass. Studying surnames historically Clark finds social mobility is much slower than hoped in modern societies. In one of his
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Mobility is much slower than previously thought: elites and underclasses can persist through ten to fifteen generations! And this is mostly impervious to even the most massive social upheavals (the industrial revolution, the cultural revolution, the welfare state, etc). To me this makes sense. Even in a revolution the social order isn't inverted; elites probably end up suffering less and they scramble out of the wreckage faster than the underclasses. The more things change... But on the flip sid
...more
I recently read: The Son Also Rises: Surnames and the History of Social Mobility and Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids: Why Being a Great Parent is Less Work and More Fun Than You Think. Both argue the nature/nurture question and side with nature. I thought both books were pretty bad (too long, extremely uncreative in the exploration of possible reasons for their findings, and not convincing) but they did provide some fun food for thought--hence this post.
First, a summary: In Surnames, Gregory C ...more
First, a summary: In Surnames, Gregory C ...more
This is an extremely interesting and provocative book, and I think it's worth reading for anyone interested in social stratification with a mildly quantitative bent. It has much in common with Piketty's "Capital in the 21st C.", but has received much less in the way of press coverage. Ultimately, I found the arguments and evidence presented partially convincing, but very thought-provoking.
I would distill Clark's argument down to a number of positive and normative claims.
Positive claims:
1. Social ...more
I would distill Clark's argument down to a number of positive and normative claims.
Positive claims:
1. Social ...more
What was great about this book was that Dr. Clark has clearly found an innovative way of tracking the status of families over time, and has applied this method of analysis to a wide variety of illuminating cases. I think he's shed some real light on the transmission of wealth and social status intergenerationally. The central premise alone will attract many readers.
That said, there are some very significant weaknesses. He reaches a very strong conclusion (it's all genetics!) on the basis of just ...more
That said, there are some very significant weaknesses. He reaches a very strong conclusion (it's all genetics!) on the basis of just ...more
A book that made me say "Oops! I didn't know it was that bad! Really?".
Apparently, regardless of inequality levels in a society, and the time period you and your family live in - be it a much nicer place such as Sweden, or in a society in USA where there are huge levels of inequality between people, or medieval England for a totally different scenario - once you are at the top of society, or at the bottom of it, it takes many many generations to regress to the mean. So, the good news is, at lea ...more
Apparently, regardless of inequality levels in a society, and the time period you and your family live in - be it a much nicer place such as Sweden, or in a society in USA where there are huge levels of inequality between people, or medieval England for a totally different scenario - once you are at the top of society, or at the bottom of it, it takes many many generations to regress to the mean. So, the good news is, at lea ...more
Edit: it finally occurred to me: this is a book written by someone who has never seen the movie Gattaca.
This is a book that claims social mobility in modern America is basically the same as in modern Sweden, and that both are in fact just about the same as in sixteenth-century England. Everywhere, Gregory Clark says, persistence of social status is much higher than we normally suppose. Where most sociologists estimate persistence in the range of 40%, Clark puts it between 75% and 80%. And as men ...more
This is a book that claims social mobility in modern America is basically the same as in modern Sweden, and that both are in fact just about the same as in sixteenth-century England. Everywhere, Gregory Clark says, persistence of social status is much higher than we normally suppose. Where most sociologists estimate persistence in the range of 40%, Clark puts it between 75% and 80%. And as men ...more
Now this is an interesting book! I hope the book becomes a seminal work where others research and write on the topic, because it's utterly fascinating and enlightening.
I've read Charles Murray's Coming Apart. I enjoyed the read and believe Murray describes a social phenomena fairly well. The Son Also Rises takes direct issue with a main thesis of Coming Apart and sheds significant light on what's really happening. Further, this book elucidates other social phenomena discussed in books such as Th ...more
I've read Charles Murray's Coming Apart. I enjoyed the read and believe Murray describes a social phenomena fairly well. The Son Also Rises takes direct issue with a main thesis of Coming Apart and sheds significant light on what's really happening. Further, this book elucidates other social phenomena discussed in books such as Th ...more
Francis Fukuyama's "The Origins of the Political Order" and Peter Turchin's "War and Peace and War" both cited the role of social mobility in their theories, so this seemed to provide important insight into how this really works. This volume seemed to thoroughly explain the methodology and statistics to back up the author's assertions. He tested his model against data from Medieval England, modern England, the US, Sweden, China, India, and Chile. Social mobility was lower in almost all cases fro
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El punto fuerte del libro es la original e innovadora idea de medir la movilidad social a través de los apellidos. Lo que hacen es observar que tan comunes son ciertos apellidos dentro de las élites o las clases bajas a lo largo del tiempo comparando con qué tan comunes son esos apellidos dentro de la población en general. Este enfoque permite hacer estudios de mucho más largo aliento (remontándose hasta la edad media para el caso de Reino Unido) y observar cómo se van moviendo dentro de una soc
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If you thought social mobility was larger in Sweden than in the USA, think again. Unlike most of what we read about social mobility, which focuses on income of parents and their children, this book focuses on social status, which takes into account wealth, income, occupation, health, and longevity. The book's analysis is done mainly through looking at how quickly surnames with high and low social status regress to the mean social status. The results raise questions about the extent to which soci
...more
Gregory Clarke concludes that the social persistence rate in the United States to be about 0.75, which means he can pretty much tell you how American newborns are going to end up in life, on average, based on parents' social status. In fact, it takes about 15 generations for the social status of families to not have predictive power of the future of newborn babies in capitalist United States.
But here's what's interesting: the same persistence rate exists for people in socialist Sweden (universal ...more
But here's what's interesting: the same persistence rate exists for people in socialist Sweden (universal ...more
"So is this belief in the persistence of familial advantage just a popular delusion? That is the question that U.C. Davis economist Gregory Clark takes up in his new book, and the answer he found surprised even him. He set out thinking the social-science consensus was correct, intending only to extend those findings further into the past. But the evidence changed his mind: social scientists have been measuring mobility the wrong way, and in fact the popular intuition is on target."
Gene Callahan ...more
Gene Callahan ...more
Incredibly well researched and written, the book suggests that socioeconomic moblity is very slow irrespective of government policies. While everyone ultimately regresses to the mean over time, those that come from higher socioeconomic strata (the author's research uses surnames) and marry well and have good luck--consistently reproduce and generate income--can maintain higher socioeconomic status for centuries. The author cites examples: Ashkenazi Jews and Brahmin Indians.
Very clever use of surname data to estimate the rate of social mobility across societies.
Goes to show why the welfare states of Western-Europe are most in line with the nature of human nature by somewhat levelling the unequal outgrowths of the lottery called life. Or why only mediocre people tend to whine about high taxes and an empathic state, talented people tend to realize talent is its own reward.
Goes to show why the welfare states of Western-Europe are most in line with the nature of human nature by somewhat levelling the unequal outgrowths of the lottery called life. Or why only mediocre people tend to whine about high taxes and an empathic state, talented people tend to realize talent is its own reward.
A book which asks all the right questions, I wish I could give "The Son Also Rises" 5 stars. However, there are serious issues with the books core methodology. I tend to side with those who, like Chetty, contend that what Clark is mostly measuring is the rate of group convergence rather than family convergence. Look forward to my forthcoming paper for more on how to reconcile Clark's measures with he measures of more traditional intergenerational researchers!
Had some fascinating insights into social mobility (there's not a lot of it, and that is maybe a good thing), but the best part of the book to me was that it was a case study in good experiment design.
I wouldn't recommend it, but if you are going to anyway, you can skim it -- the conclusions keep being the same.
I wouldn't recommend it, but if you are going to anyway, you can skim it -- the conclusions keep being the same.
A difficult subject to investigate. However, surname based data mining was well conducted. Sounds like the single most important decision in one's life is finding a good spouse according to this book. (It's not a spoiler. The book (kind of) starts with the conclusion and explains the process of the analysis, which is fascinating.)
May 03, 2014
Brian
rated it
really liked it
Recommends it for:
Anyone who doesn't mind books containing lots of data
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Clark, whose grandfathers were migrants to Scotland from Ireland, earned his B.A. in economics and philosophy at King's College, Cambridge in 1979 and his Ph.D. at Harvard in 1985. He has also taught as an Assistant Professor at Stanford and the University of Michigan.
Clark is now a professor of economics and department chair until 2013 at the University of California, Davis. His areas of research ...more
More about Gregory Clark...
Clark is now a professor of economics and department chair until 2013 at the University of California, Davis. His areas of research ...more
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“the good society would have a low rate of inheritance of social status and correspondingly low variations in income and wealth.”
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