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Will The Soviet Union Survive Until 1984?
by
Amalrik understands what reaganites never will...
Paperback
Published
May 1st 1981
by HarperCollins Publishers
(first published June 1st 1970)
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Imagine that - in the late 1960s the annoying Russian dissident Amalrik writes a long essay with the title Will the Soviet Union Survive until 1984! At that point the USSR's grip on its client states throughout the world was, it appeared, total - the Prague Spring has just been flattened with tanks - and the USA appeared to be content with the concept of MAD (remember that? Mutually Assured Destruction. This meant we could sleep safely knowing that they knew as much as we knew that anyone pushin
...more
This is a brilliant, inspired work. Amalrik saw what, at the time (1970), seemed impossible: that the Soviet Union could simply collapse under internal pressures, and relatively soon (he was a little early with the date, though, with he chose for the obvious Orwell allusion more than anything else). He reasoned that the "widening area of freedom" that the Soviet people were seeing was not intentional liberalization but the government losing its ability to maintain control. His prediction was the
...more
لقد وصلت الصواريخ الروسية الى المريخ لكن سكان القرية التي أعيش فيها
يخرجون البطاطا باليد
من الأفضل أن نكون مكتفين و أحرارا , منه جائعين ومعدومي الحرية
اني أعتقد أن لا فكرة يستطاع تحقيقها بالفعل , ان لم يسبقها فهم أكثرية الشعب لها
الشعب لا يبقي على الحكومة لأنها جيدة , بل لأننا نحن سيئون
أندريه أمالريك , الصحفي و المعارض الروسي
احد مؤسسي " الحركة الأدبية المنشقة عن الاتحاد السوفياتي "
أسمى كتابه الذي خطه في عام 1969 ونشر في عام 1970
هل يبقى الاتّحاد السّوفييتي حتى عام 1984؟
الفكرة الرئيسية التي يط ...more
يخرجون البطاطا باليد
من الأفضل أن نكون مكتفين و أحرارا , منه جائعين ومعدومي الحرية
اني أعتقد أن لا فكرة يستطاع تحقيقها بالفعل , ان لم يسبقها فهم أكثرية الشعب لها
الشعب لا يبقي على الحكومة لأنها جيدة , بل لأننا نحن سيئون
أندريه أمالريك , الصحفي و المعارض الروسي
احد مؤسسي " الحركة الأدبية المنشقة عن الاتحاد السوفياتي "
أسمى كتابه الذي خطه في عام 1969 ونشر في عام 1970
هل يبقى الاتّحاد السّوفييتي حتى عام 1984؟
الفكرة الرئيسية التي يط ...more
Interesting and sometimes witty short essay written by a lately Russian political ex-pat while he was still stuck in the USSR.
With this book Amalrik at the end of the 1960s was foretelling the fall of Soviet Union around the orwellian year of 1984. It's true how everything has its end, but for those who were living in the USSR I guess how the same idea of "the end of the Russian Soviet" was probably hard to wonder and even conceive for a long time.
Yet Amalrik understood how USSR was not neveren ...more
With this book Amalrik at the end of the 1960s was foretelling the fall of Soviet Union around the orwellian year of 1984. It's true how everything has its end, but for those who were living in the USSR I guess how the same idea of "the end of the Russian Soviet" was probably hard to wonder and even conceive for a long time.
Yet Amalrik understood how USSR was not neveren ...more
Prescient.
the only person to predict the fall of the USSR
an absolutely delicious stylist to boot.
utterly forgotten (surpressed?)
died in a car crash in spain (suspicious?)
I read this in college and thought it would turn out to be very prophetic [it was]. Though his timeline was off by a few years, Amalrik's thesis proved true.
...more
Mar 06, 2019
Leonardo
marked it as to-keep-reference
Con o sin aliento externo, lo cierto es que la inmensa mayoría de los intelectuales soviéticos nunca siguió el ejemplo que daban, aunque fuera tímidamente, otros países de Europa oriental. El miedo que inspiraba la represión de Stalin, aunque nadie hablara realmente del asunto, se cernía todavía como un velo mortuorio tres décadas después de su muerte, y todos los críticos, a excepción de los más atrevidos y valientes, procuraban mantenerse dentro de los límites que marcaban los temas y el lengu
...more
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Russian writer and one of the most prominent Soviet dissidents. Amalrik was best known for his 1969 essay, Will the Soviet Union Survive Until 1984?
He was first arrested in 1965 after attempting to send his university thesis to a Danish Slavic scholar, the late Adolf Stender-Pedersen. Unaccountably, he later wrote in his memoir Involuntary Journey to Siberia, the Danish embassy turned it over to t ...more
He was first arrested in 1965 after attempting to send his university thesis to a Danish Slavic scholar, the late Adolf Stender-Pedersen. Unaccountably, he later wrote in his memoir Involuntary Journey to Siberia, the Danish embassy turned it over to t ...more
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